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Back|爆蔣萬安一連串反常動作!矢板明夫:北市選戰節奏已變
爆蔣萬安一連串反常動作!矢板明夫:北市選戰節奏已變
Developing
自由时报·1 hour ago·Politics·3 min read·🇨🇳China·

爆蔣萬安一連串反常動作!矢板明夫:北市選戰節奏已變

日本資深媒體人矢板明夫指出,面對沈伯洋的奮起直追,蔣萬安提出遷移松山機場,顯示已感受到選情壓力。

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日本資深媒體人矢板明夫分析台北市長選戰,指沈伯洋聲勢上揚,蔣萬安近期接連受訪並拋出松山機場遷移案,顯示其已感受到選情壓力,選戰節奏已然改變。

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台北市長選戰近期因沈伯洋參選及蔣萬安提出松山機場遷移案而受到外界關注。

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台北市長蔣萬安8日舉行市政記者會,提出遷移松山機場,打造台北AI園區的願景。

民進黨台北市長參選人沈伯洋勇闖異溫層,成功造出「洋流」,台北市長蔣萬安近期則火力全開,接連接受專訪,還拋出遷移松山機場。日本資深媒體人矢板明夫今日解讀,面對沈伯洋的奮起直追,蔣萬安開始感受到選情壓力了,台北市長選戰的節奏已經改變。

矢板明夫今日在臉書發文表示,美國精神科醫師庫伯勒·羅斯提出過著名的「悲傷五階段」:否認、憤怒、討價還價、沮喪、接受。如果把這套理論套進最近的台北市長選戰,看起來真的就像是一齣政治諷刺劇。

第1階段是「否認」。沈伯洋開始造勢,網路上出現「洋流」,藍營卻依然老神在在,認為不過是網軍、工讀生,甚至用「蟑螂、老鼠」等字眼嘲諷。面對沈伯洋密集受訪,蔣萬安則擺出一副「大樹何須理會螞蟻」的姿態,彷彿勝券在握。

第2階段是「憤怒」。沒想到「洋流」越來越大,聲量甚至蓋過現任市長。蔣陣營終於坐不住了,翻出沈伯洋十多年前討論毒品政策的博客舊文,試圖貼上「縱容毒品」的標籤。結果弄巧成拙,蔣萬安的臉書遭到數十萬則留言洗版,戰火反而越燒越旺。

第3階段是「討價還價」。試圖重新掌握對局勢的控制感,以延緩現實帶來的痛苦。眼看攻擊效果不佳,蔣萬安突然端出松山機場遷移案,畫出AI產業、住宅、公園一應俱全的「大餅」,試圖奪回議題主導權。但是,這麼大的政策,缺乏具體可行性研究和執行步驟,就端上桌,立即引來各界的質疑。

矢板明夫指出,同時蔣萬安還頻頻登上友好媒體節目,希望穩住基本盤。但是明顯倉促上陣、沒準備好,內容幾乎沒有亮點。至於這齣戲會不會繼續演到第4階段「沮喪」,和第5階段「接受」,現在還不知道。但有一點很清楚。台北市長選戰的節奏已經改變。「如今雙方都已踩下油門。後面恐怕還有不少精彩好戲,大家板凳坐穩了!」

Open Questions

  • ?松山機場遷移案是否具備具體可行性?
  • ?台北市長選戰後續是否會進入悲傷五階段的後續階段?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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日本資深媒體人矢板明夫分析台北市長選戰,指沈伯洋聲勢上揚,蔣萬安近期接連受訪並拋出松山機場遷移案,顯示其已感受到選情壓力,選戰節奏已然改變。

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View translation
蔣萬安
沈伯洋
矢板明夫
蔣萬安
沈伯洋
矢板明夫
庫伯勒·羅斯
民進黨
自由時報
台北
松山機場
沈伯洋
矢板明夫
松山機場
台北市長選戰
選情

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