Lula's campaign fears 'hidden vote' for Flávio in the final stretch

Members of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva's campaign express optimism with the favorable poll numbers in recent days, which reinforced the condition of a technical tie with Flávio Bolsonaro, but also demonstrate concern about the "hidden vote" for the opponent.

The assessment is that the final result for the right is usually 1 or 2 percentage points above the level recorded in polls immediately prior to the election.

This would result from a natural resistance on the part of Bolsonaro supporters to these uprisings, or even from a certain modesty on the part of some declaring themselves to be right-wing voters. The phenomenon occurred in the last presidential elections and was repeated in the first round, when Flávio surprised and was ahead of Lula.

According to two Lula supporters, it is not enough to tie the dispute in the final stretch. It is necessary to arrive on the eve of the vote numerically ahead and with an upward bias, to minimize the risk of a negative surprise.