National security personnel analyze US-China talks: The Taiwan Strait has not become a focus of transactions, and Beijing will push the fictional narrative of "the east rises and the west falls" and the "Taiwan abandonment theory"

The second meeting this year between U.S. President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping came to an end. The situation in the Taiwan Strait and the rivalry between the U.S. and China have attracted much attention. National security analysts analyzed that China originally planned to reiterate the "three U.S.-China communiques" to pressure the U.S. to reduce arms sales to Taiwan. However, due to the layout and cold treatment of the U.S., the Taiwan Strait issue has not been resolved. This meeting did not become the focus of the transaction, and China's attempt "failed." Beijing will inevitably use the fictional narrative of "rising in the east and falling in the west" and "Taiwan's abandonment theory" in the future. Taiwan must not swing between the authoritarian and democratic camps. "Maintaining strategic focus" will be the top priority next.

National security sources pointed out that the United States did not let China succeed during the second meeting between Trump and Xi. It continued to stick to its strategic bottom line through the State Council and multinational statements, reiterated that the "one China policy" and its security commitment to Taiwan remain unchanged, and opposed any unilateral actions that unilaterally change the status quo across the Taiwan Strait. This once again confirmed that the cornerstone of Taiwan-US relations is deeply rooted in the core national interests of the United States, the alliance of democratic values, and Taiwan's irreplaceable position in the high-tech supply chain, rather than a disposable option in the diplomatic situation between the United States and China.

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National security personnel assess that the United States and China have entered a new normal of "high-frequency communication but high-intensity competition." The two sides have prevented possible immediate conflicts through dialogue. However, competition in high-tech blockades, supply chain reorganization, and geopolitical competition will only become increasingly fierce, and Beijing cannot lead In return for real dividends such as lower tariffs and the lifting of high-tech bans, it will inevitably turn to internal and external propaganda, using red carpet scenes in diplomatic situations to indoctrinate the international and internal Taiwanese community with the fictional narrative of "rising in the east and falling in the west" and "Taiwan's abandonment theory" to the international community and within Taiwan.

National security sources emphasize that if Taiwan swings between the authoritarian and democratic camps under the disturbance of pro-Beijing elements, it will eventually lose international trust and strategic high ground. Therefore, "maintaining strategic focus" is the top priority, including continuing to strengthen the irreplaceability of "silicon shield" and key supply chains, consolidating Taiwan's key global position in AI, high-end semiconductors and advanced manufacturing. It should accelerate technological research and development and industrial upgrading, and transform economic strength into the strongest security moat.

National security sources emphasized that in response to the "Taiwan abandonment theory," "the wrong treasure theory," or the "U.S.-China backroom deal theory" spread in China in response to Beijing's context, the government will continue to expose the reality of major power diplomacy through timely and transparent explanations with an international strategic perspective, so that the people of the country can clearly understand that the country's destiny is based on its own hard power and democratic values, rather than the goodwill of authoritarian countries that may package itself as a deal.

National security sources said that in addition to being indispensable in high-tech supply chains, it is equally urgent to deepen the "multilateral value alliance" and asymmetric defense capabilities. On the basis of Taiwan-US relations, Taiwan will further deepen multilateral substantive cooperation with Japan, the European Union, and democratic countries in the Indo-Pacific region in supply chain security, information security, civil defense, and geostrategy. cooperation, while continuing to promote national defense independence and the construction of asymmetric combat capabilities, so that any authoritarian system that attempts to change the status quo across the Taiwan Strait will pay an unbearable price; in cross-strait relations, maintaining a stable stance of "no provocation, no aggressiveness, and no surrender" and demonstrating Taiwan's active role as a "responsible participant in regional peace" is the right thing to do.