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BackBlue and White refuses to listen to advice and imposes air pollution law. Manager: It will inevitably cause power shortage and is undesirable.
Blue and White refuses to listen to advice and imposes air pollution law. Manager: It will inevitably cause power shortage and is undesirable.
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自由时报15 minutes agoPolitics3 min readChinaView original

Blue and White refuses to listen to advice and imposes air pollution law. Manager: It will inevitably cause power shortage and is undesirable.

Quick Look

  • The Kuomintang and the People's Party in the Legislative Yuan plan to amend the law to force coal-fired units to decommission early.
  • Minister of Economic Affairs Gong Ming-xin said that this move will lead to tight power supply, affecting Taiwan's power generation of approximately 58 billion kilowatt-hours, and have a serious impact on the power supply of the Taichung Science Park and the Northeast region, calling for the maintenance of current regulations.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

The Kuomintang and the People's Party in the Legislative Yuan proposed amendments to the Air Pollution Law, requiring coal-fired units to be decommissioned early and restricted from being used as backup. The Ministry of Economy pointed out that this move will cause the reserve capacity rate to turn negative in 2028-2029.

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The Kuomintang members of the Legislative Yuan and the Popular Party Group proposed Articles 28 and 30 of the Air Pollution Law Amendment Act on the 10th of this month, which directly stipulates the early decommissioning of coal-fired units and restricts the conversion of decommissioned coal-fired units into emergency backup. Minister of Economic Affairs Gong Mingxin said in an interview today that if certain units are forced to be decommissioned early, it will inevitably cause the challenge of tight power supply. This is not what the Ministry of Economic Affairs and the industry want to see, and the construction of new units will take time. "If we do it today, we will have electricity tomorrow."

Gong Mingxin said that in the next 10 years, 25 large-scale natural gas units will be put online one after another, and 26GW will be added by then. However, the construction time of the units will take about 6 to 7 years. "It is not that if you do it today, the call will come tomorrow." The construction of the units has a certain order and schedule.

Gong Mingxin said that Taipower will complete the new unit construction project as scheduled. According to this progress, the coal-fired units can be converted to standby or emergency backup, or even decommissioned and dismantled. Just like the ventilation process of Taichung Power Plant, after new gas units come online, some coal-fired units can be dismantled. This has a rhythm.

Gong Mingxin emphasized that stable power supply is crucial, and reducing air pollution is of course also important. The order should be as follows. If certain units are forced to be decommissioned early, it will inevitably cause the challenge of tight power supply. This is not what the Ministry of Economic Affairs and the industry expect. Especially in recent years, Taiwan's economy has developed well, and electricity demand is likely to increase again.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs also emphasized that the decommissioning of power plants has an established schedule, and rashly bringing it forward will seriously affect the stability of power supply, and called on all walks of life to support the maintenance of the current provisions of the air pollution law. If Taichung Power Plant’s 8 units of 4.4GW, Heping Power Plant’s 2 units of 1.32GW, Linkou’s 3 units of 2.4GW, and Dalin’s 2 units of 1.6GW are forced to be decommissioned in advance, a total of 9.72GW is expected to be decommissioned in advance. 028. In 2029, the reserve capacity rate will plummet to a negative value, and the impact on the annual power generation will be approximately 58 billion kilowatt-hours, exceeding the actual household electricity consumption in 2025 of 51 billion kilowatt-hours (about 14 million households). The impact will be huge. Among them, before the gas-fired units of the second phase of the Taichung Power Plant come online, the existing coal-fired units will be forced to be decommissioned before the end of 2028, which will affect the regional power supply. Taichung Science Park may have difficulty in using electricity for new industries in the future.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs continued to point out that if the Heping Power Plant is decommissioned early, the power supply gap in the Northeast region will be as high as 4.7GW, exceeding the 4.2GW integration limit of the Northwest Power Grid, increasing the risk of power supply in Taipei City, Keelung City, Yilan County and the area east of Banqiao, New Taipei City.

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • If the amendment is passed, the reserve capacity rate will fall into negative territory in 2028.

    Possible · Within years

Open Questions

  • Will the Legislative Yuan pass the amendment?
  • Does the Ministry of Economic Affairs have alternatives to ease the pressure on power supply?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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