
A review of the mechanisms for nominating and winning the Nobel Peace Prize for the year 2026, in conjunction with political developments in the Canadian province of Quebec.
The report reviews the details of the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize and the mechanism for nominating and evaluating 287 candidates at the Norwegian Nobel Institute in Oslo, in addition to political and economic developments in the Canadian province of Quebec after the separatist Quebec Party returned to power and pledges to hold a referendum.
AI-generated summary
Hundreds are nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize every year and the list remains secret for decades, while Quebec faces new economic and political challenges.
Despite the increasing number of conflicts around the world and the decline in international cooperation, the Nobel Peace Prize is still important. The winner of the prize will be announced on October 9 at the Norwegian Nobel Institute in Oslo, and his name will be announced by the Chairman of the Committee. The ceremony will be held at Oslo City Hall on December 10, the anniversary of Alfred Nobel's death.
There are about 287 nominations for the 2026 Nobel Peace Prize that will be evaluated, and the award ceremony will be held on December 10. Venezuelan Maria Corina Machado won the award last year.
Who are the candidates?
There are 287 candidates, including 208 individuals and 79 organizations. Their names are not known because the list has been kept secret for 50 years inside a closet in the basement of the Norwegian Nobel Institute in Oslo.
However, those who choose the candidates, who number in the thousands around the world, can reveal the names they have proposed, according to Reuters.
Is US President Donald Trump nominated and can he win?
The leaders of Cambodia, Israel and Pakistan have said they nominated Trump, but there is no way to verify that. Experts believe that if Trump is actually a candidate, his chances of winning are very weak.
Who are the luckiest this year?
Among the names proposed are Pope Leo, the International Criminal Court, the International Court of Justice, or Francesca Albanese, the UN Special Rapporteur on the occupied Palestinian territories.
Possible candidates also include the Emergency Response Rooms, a Sudanese network of local groups providing aid during the civil war, or the NGO Save the Children for its assistance to children affected by the conflict.
The names least likely to win include the International Space Station, as an example of what countries can achieve even when at odds with each other. The United States, Russia and Europe cooperate in operating the station.
Who decides the winner?
The Norwegian Nobel Committee consists of five individuals appointed by the Norwegian Parliament. Members are often retired politicians, but not always.
The current committee is headed by the head of the Norwegian branch of PEN International, a group that defends freedom of expression. The committee also includes a university professor among its members.
All of them are nominated by Norwegian political parties, and their appointment reflects the balance of power in the Norwegian Parliament.
Who is eligible to win?
The short answer: Whoever meets the specifications set by the Swedish industrialist Alfred Nobel in his will in 1895. The will stipulates that the award should be given to the person “who has made the greatest or best effort to strengthen the bonds of brotherhood between nations, to abolish standing armies or reduce their numbers, and to hold and promote peace conferences.”
Christian Berg Harpviken, secretary of the award committee, says that the more complex answer is that the award “must be placed in its current context.” Harpviken prepares the nomination files and participates in the deliberations, but does not cast his vote.
“They will take a look at the world and see what is happening, what are the global trends, what are the major concerns, what are the most promising developments that we see,” he told Reuters last year.
He added: “Developments here could mean anything, from a specific peace process to a new type of international agreement that is under development or has been recently adopted.”
Who is eligible to nominate?
Thousands of people can suggest names, including members of governments and parliaments, current heads of state, university professors in history, social sciences, law, philosophy, former Nobel Peace Prize winners, and others.
The nomination period ended on January 31. Committee members are also entitled to submit their own nominations no later than their first meeting in February.
How does the committee decide?
Members discuss all the nominated names and then conclude a shortlist, after which a team of permanent advisors and other experts study and evaluate each candidate individually. The committee meets approximately once a month to review nominations. Harpviken said the decision is usually made in August or September. The committee seeks to reach consensus on its selection. If this is not possible, the decision shall be taken by a majority of votes. The last time a member resigned in protest against the winner was in 1994, when Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat shared the award with Israelis Shimon Peres and Yitzhak Rabin.
What does the prize winner get?
A gold medal, a certificate of merit, 12 million Swedish krona ($1.2 million) and immediate global attention.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney said on Tuesday that Quebec should focus on immediate economic challenges rather than waiting for a possible referendum on independence years from now, a day after the separatist Parti Quebecois returned to power.
Carney stated that he would respond to the possibility of holding another referendum by working with Quebec through “cooperative federalism,” with a focus on affordable housing, economic growth, infrastructure, and support for workers affected by the tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump.
“This is a critical time for our country,” Carney explained. It is a crucial time for Quebec. This is not the time to wait for something a few years down the road. It's time to act. “It is a time to be bold.”
Carney added that he spoke on Tuesday morning with the Prime Minister-designate of Quebec, Paul Saint-Pierre Plamondon, and congratulated him and discussed financing infrastructure and supporting workers in the province affected by the US trade war.
St-Pierre Plamondon pledged to hold another referendum on Quebec's independence, but said he would wait until Trump leaves office. He reiterated his separatist ambitions in his victory speech, saying he continues to envision Quebec becoming a state.
Industry Minister Mélanie Joly also said Ottawa will work with the new Quebec government while emphasizing the economic pressures facing the province.
“We are now in a trade war that is affecting a lot of jobs in Quebec,” Jolie added. "Our goal will be to protect jobs in Quebec and throughout the country."
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Nobel Peace Prize winner announced on October 9
Very likely · Within months

The Houthi group announced the targeting of Riyadh and Aden airports with missiles and drones, while the Yemeni Ministry of Transport canceled the landing of a flight coming from Cairo, amid a widespread military escalation and battles around Bab al-Mandab.

The Ansar Allah group (Houthis) launched a ballistic missile towards Riyadh, which was intercepted by the Saudi coalition, while two missiles targeted Aden International Airport, without causing casualties. At the same time, multiple fronts in Yemen are witnessing a military escalation, as Saudi-backed government forces seek to reclaim areas controlled by the Houthis, especially on the western coast and around Bab al-Mandab. Video recordings also showed government armored vehicles running over Houthi fighters near Bab al-Mandab, leading to accusations of war crimes by the Houthis, while government forces are investigating the incident and calling on the National Shield to treat the prisoners well.

The “Yemen Dawn” operation launched by government forces entered its second day with the expansion of field gains in Taiz and Ma’rib and the opening of new axes, while Saudi Arabia affirmed its full support for the Yemeni Presidential Command Council and the legitimate government to end the Houthi coup and restore the state, during the cabinet session headed by Prince Mohammed bin Salman, where it stressed that the Houthi group chose military escalation instead of peace, deepened human suffering, and threatened the security of the region and the navigation movement in the southern Red Sea and the Bab al-Mandab Strait.
The "Ansar Allah" group announced that it had confronted the advance of Saudi forces towards Bab al-Mandab with ten ballistic missiles, while government forces confirmed the liberation of the Dhubab district as part of the "Yemen Dawn" operation.

Prince Mohammed bin Salman, the Saudi Crown Prince, donated blood to launch the annual national blood donation campaign for the year 2026, stressing support for humanitarian initiatives and promoting a culture of volunteerism, while the Council of Ministers discussed regional issues including Yemen, Syria, and international cooperation agreements.
The Sultanate of Oman carried out a medical evacuation for 10 crew members of the Panama-flagged merchant ship “One Piece” after it was targeted 9 nautical miles northeast of Lima in the Musandam Governorate, leading to a fire on board. India condemned the attack on the ship, saying that it was hit by a projectile while crossing the Strait of Hormuz and resulted in the injury of 12 crew members, including 11 Indians.