
AI-generated summary
The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a medium-term weather forecast on November 3, covering the weather outlook for the next 10 days (November 3-12) and the next 11-14 days (November 13-16), including precipitation, temperature, cold air activities and typhoon dynamics.
China News Service, November 3. According to the website of the Central Meteorological Observatory, the Central Meteorological Observatory issued a medium-term weather forecast on the 3rd.
Rainfall will increase in the east and south of southwest China in the next ten days
In the next 10 days (November 3-12), the cumulative precipitation in the eastern and southern parts of Southwest China, Jianghan, Jianghuai, Jiangnan, central and western South China, Hainan Island, and eastern Taiwan will be 30 to 80 mm. Some areas in western China, southeastern Chongqing, eastern Guizhou, northern Guangxi, and southwestern Guangxi have 100 to 150 millimeters of precipitation; southern North China, eastern Northeast China, Huanghuai, and Shaanxi have accumulated precipitation of 10 to 30 millimeters. The cumulative precipitation in the above-mentioned areas is 50% to 80% higher than the same period in normal years, and the precipitation is more than double in local areas. Most of the rest of my country has less precipitation.
Image source: Central Meteorological Observatory website
In the next 10 days, except for the average temperature in northeastern Inner Mongolia and the northern part of Northeast China, which will be 2 to 4 degrees Celsius lower than the same period in normal years, the temperature in most other areas of my country will be close to normal or higher than normal. Among them, northern Xinjiang, central and western Inner Mongolia, eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, Yunnan and other places will be 2 to 3 degrees Celsius higher than normal.
Image source: Central Meteorological Observatory website
Main weather processes:
From the 4th to the 6th, due to the influence of cold air, Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, North China, Huanghuai and other places experienced a temperature drop of 4 to 8°C, with a local drop of more than 10°C, accompanied by winds of magnitude 5 to 6 and gusts of magnitude 7 to 9. There are moderate to heavy rains and local heavy rains in Jianghan, Jianghuai, Jiangnan, Chongqing, eastern Guizhou, and northern Guangxi. There are moderate to heavy snows and local heavy snows in parts of eastern Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang, and local rain turns to freezing rain in central and eastern Heilongjiang.
From the 6th to the 8th, there were moderate to heavy rains and local heavy rains in eastern Jianghan, Jianghuai, Jiangnan, western South China, Chongqing, Guizhou, Yunnan and other places.
From the 7th to the 9th, due to the influence of cold air, the eastern part of Northwest China, central and western Inner Mongolia, North China, Huanghuai and most areas in the south experienced a temperature drop of 4 to 6°C, with a local temperature drop of more than 8°C, accompanied by winds of magnitude 4 to 6 and gusts of magnitude 7 to 8; there was light to moderate snow or sleet and local heavy snow in the eastern part of the Tibetan Plateau and northwestern Shanxi.
Weather outlook for the next 11-14 days
In the next 11-14 days (November 13-16), the cumulative rainfall in the eastern part of Southwest China, Jianghan, South China, western Hunan, eastern Zhejiang, Shaanxi and other places will be 10-30 mm, with local rainfall exceeding 40 mm; except in the west Except for Tibet, Yunnan and other places where the temperature was slightly lower than the same period of the year, the temperature in most other parts of my country was higher. Among them, the temperature in the eastern Tibetan Plateau, North China, Inner Mongolia, the central and southern part of Northeast China, Huanghuai, Jianghuai and Shaanxi was 2 to 4°C higher.
High Impact Weather and Concerns
Rainfall increases in the east and south of the southwestern region
In the next ten days, rainfall will increase significantly in the south. The western and northern parts of Jiangnan and Chongqing, Guizhou, Guangxi, Yunnan and other places will generally have 4 to 7 rainy days. The main rainfall periods will occur on the 3-4th and 6-8th, and the cumulative precipitation will be significantly higher than the same period in normal years.
typhoon
This year's No. 31 Typhoon "Firework" turned northeastward after the 4th, heading towards the southeastern ocean of Japan. It gradually weakened and transformed into an extratropical cyclone, which has no impact on my country's waters. In addition, in the next 10 days, another typhoon may form in the northwest Pacific, which will have no impact on our country.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
In the next 10 days, rainfall will continue to increase in the eastern part of Southwest China, Jiangnan and other places, and the cumulative precipitation will be significantly higher than the same period in normal years.
Very likely · Within days
From the 4th to the 6th, Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, North China, Huanghuai and other places will be affected by cold air and experience a temperature drop of 4 to 8°C, with a local drop of more than 10°C.
Very likely · Within days
Typhoon "Firework" will turn to the northeast and move toward the southeastern ocean of Japan, gradually weakening and transforming into an extratropical cyclone, and will have no impact on my country's waters.
Very likely · Within days
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Gao Rong, deputy director of the National Climate Center, said that four cold air processes are expected to affect our country in November, with the frequency close to the same period in normal years and the intensity being "strong at first and weak at the end." There will be two cold air processes in the next two weeks. From the 5th to the 7th, it will affect Inner Mongolia, Northeast China, North China, and northern Jiangnan. The temperature will drop by 4°C to 8°C, with local temperatures exceeding 10°C. From the 12th to the 16th, it will mainly affect Xinjiang, northwest, North China, Northeast China, Huanghuai and other places. In the northern region, there are risks of meteorological disasters such as periodic low temperatures, strong winds and frosts. In many places, there is excessive precipitation, and there is a strong risk of periodic rain and snow disasters.

China Weather Network reports that rainfall will increase and intensify in the south from November 3 to 4, with local heavy rains; a new round of rainfall is coming from November 6 to 8, and heavy rains may occur in some areas of the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. The meteorological department reminds to guard against secondary disasters and traffic safety risks caused by continuous rainfall.