
AI-generated summary
Markets are reacting to the escalating confrontation between the US and Iran over the Strait of Hormuz, a critical oil transport route. At the same time, important monetary policy decisions from the ECB and the Fed are imminent, which could determine the future direction of interest rates.
The signs point to falling prices: The DAX is likely to start the day below the 26,000 point mark, which it was just able to hold yesterday. The broker IG sees the leading index 0.6 percent lower in an initial indication.
Overnight, the battle for control of the Strait of Hormuz between the US and Iran escalated again. While the US military attacked several Iranian oil tankers, the Revolutionary Guards attacked an American base in Jordan with numerous missiles.
North Sea Brent crude oil then rose in price again to more than $99 per barrel.
The Asian markets nevertheless appeared robust. Thanks to the euphoria for artificial intelligence, the Chinese indices and the Japanese Nikkei were initially able to stay in the black, and the South Korean Kospi even gained over one percent.
In addition to the military escalation, inflation concerns had weighed on prices on Wall Street. The Dow Jones lost 1.2 percent and the Nasdaq 0.3 percent.
There are no important economic dates scheduled today before the European Central Bank's (ECB) interest rate decision tomorrow and, above all, US consumer prices on Friday are likely to move the markets.
The financial markets have already prepared for the ECB to increase the key interest rate by a quarter point to 2.50 percent. The US inflation data from the USA is considered the last important date that can influence the interest rate decision of the Federal Reserve (Fed) next Wednesday.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The ECB will raise the key interest rate by a quarter point to 2.50 percent tomorrow.
Very likely · Within days
US inflation data on Friday will influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision next Wednesday.
Likely · Within days

The Volkswagen ID.Polo has already reached 100,000 pre-orders before the market launch, with 30,000 orders in Germany alone. Due to high demand, Volkswagen is increasing production capacity at the Martorell plant faster than planned. The joint development with Skoda and Cupra saves the group 600 million euros.

Despite a late entry into AI infrastructure, Apple has achieved high margins and share buybacks through capital discipline, which investors see as protection against an AI bubble. The group relies on pragmatic AI integration through partners like Google and plans growth through foldable iPhones and household robots, while the stock is valued at over 30 times expected earnings.

The Nikkei index rose 0.4 percent to 65,495 points, while the Topix climbed 0.3 percent to 4,064 points. In China, the Shanghai index gained 0.3 percent to 3,953 points and the CSI 300 index gained 0.3 percent to 4,571 points. AI enthusiasm in Japan pushed aside Middle East concerns, while the conflict in China fueled inflation through higher energy costs.

The US is announcing import bans on certain Canadian products such as dairy, alcoholic beverages and motorcycles from September 29 to put pressure on Canada in the tariff dispute. Canada responds with counter tariffs on US imports. In addition, other developments such as Trump's renaming proposals, an attack on a Democratic candidate in Ohio and postal voting in the USA are reported.

Starting in December, tokenized stocks will be traded on the Nasdaq 23 hours a day, five days a week. Jennifer Lassiter from Standard Chartered sees this as an important step, but warns of double system costs due to a lack of regulation. Thomas Jansen from Investor Guard also analyzes Bitcoin's chances of breaking the $100,000 mark.
In Baden-Württemberg, the regional classes in motor vehicle liability insurance worsened for around 1.6 million people in nine districts, while they improved in two districts for around 190,000 insured people. When it comes to comprehensive insurance, eleven of the 44 districts were rated worse, affecting 800,000 drivers. The best damage balance was achieved in Breisgau/Hochschwarzwald.