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Back特朗普宣布“俄乌能源停火”:双方都同意了,但乌克兰不在桌边
特朗普宣布“俄乌能源停火”:双方都同意了,但乌克兰不在桌边
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中国新闻网2 hours agoWorld3 min readChinaView translation

特朗普宣布“俄乌能源停火”:双方都同意了,但乌克兰不在桌边

Quick Look

特朗普宣布俄乌进入能源停火状态,称双方均已同意,但乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示事先不知情。文章指出,所谓能源停火实为美俄在柴油供应上的交易,乌克兰被要求单方面停止袭击俄炼油厂,而美方威胁若乌继续袭击将中断情报共享。市场对柴油期货作出反应,但战场局势未变,共和党内部亦出现反对声音。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

特朗普宣布俄乌进入能源停火状态,但乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示事先不知情。文章指出,所谓能源停火实为美俄在柴油供应上的交易,乌克兰被要求单方面停止袭击俄炼油厂,而美方威胁若乌继续袭击将中断情报共享。

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特朗普宣布“俄乌能源停火”:双方都同意了,但乌克兰不在桌边|国际早察

“即刻起,俄乌冲突进入‘能源停火’状态,双方均已同意。”美东时间11日,特朗普在社交媒体上写道。

特朗普社媒发文宣布这一消息

但“能源停火”这四个字,乌克兰总统也是刚知道的。

就在同一天,泽连斯基接受采访时说,这场停火“对我来说也是个新闻;如果俄罗斯人同意能源停火,乌克兰就会同意——如果特朗普总统与普京总统谈成了,请告诉乌克兰停火何时开始。我们准备好了,我们会接受。”

这场“能源停火”,到底是谁停的?

迈阿密8小时,谈出了一场没有乌克兰的“停火”

一切要从9日那场近8小时的迈阿密会谈说起。

当天,美国总统特使威特科夫、特朗普女婿库什纳,与乌克兰、欧洲和北约代表坐进佛罗里达的会议室,议题是停火条件与安全保障。

据阿克西奥斯新闻网披露,美方在会上亮出底线:如果乌克兰坚持袭击俄罗斯炼油厂,美国可能中断与乌的情报共享。

就在会谈当天,特朗普和普京通了电话。随后,俄方宣布:普京确认,俄罗斯将向美国及全球市场供应石油和石油产品。

基辅这边还在会议室里,华盛顿那边已经和“战争对手”成交了。

停火之前,先成交了一笔柴油

这通电话,谈的不是停火,是柴油。

特朗普向全球列出一份供应清单:30万吨立即交付,11月再给50万吨,随后100万吨,视俄炼油厂情况,短期内还能追加300万吨。

同日,美国财政部外国资产控制办公室发出临时许可,授权俄罗斯柴油进入全球市场,有效期一直开到2027年4月。

为什么这么急?数据给出了答案:9日,美国全国柴油平均零售价达到每加仑6.28美元,同比上涨超过70%。11月中期选举在即,农民、牧场主、卡车司机,恰是共和党需要的那批选民。

特朗普在社交媒体上把话说得很直白:为上述群体降低价格,“是我最优先考虑的事项。”

“你停电站,我停炼油厂”:被拒绝的条件

泽连斯基不是没提过条件。

据阿克西奥斯报道,他曾告诉特朗普和美国特使:如果俄方停止袭击乌克兰电力设施,他愿意下令停止袭击俄炼油厂。

特朗普的回答,掐断了谈判空间——“这两者不能相提并论”,乌方必须单方面停手。

一名美国知情官员的解释更直白:泽连斯基持续袭击俄炼油厂,“让俄罗斯疼痛,同样也让美国疼痛”。

泽连斯基的愤怒写在脸上。他称这份柴油协议“像是送给普京的生日礼物”——两天前,普京刚过完74岁生日;又指它是“对一场本应结束、而非延长的战争进行投资”。

10日,特朗普回敬了一句更狠的:乌克兰“应该换个能达成协议的新领导人”。

俄乌“同意能源停火”?但子弹还没停

“能源停火”宣布后,市场先动了起来:柴油期货一度跌至每加仑约4.66美元,却仍停在历史同期高位附近。

真正的“战场”纹丝不动。俄方没有对“能源停火”作出正面确认;乌克兰没有否认停火本身——它否定的是被排除在交易之外、被要求单方面停手的现实,为此取消了下一轮会谈。

协议刚落地,特朗普所在的共和党内部也出现裂痕——两名共和党众议员宣布,将推动立法阻止采购俄罗斯石油。

眼下,俄乌战场上的子弹还没停,至于两国“能源停火”能否真正实现,还待观察。

作者:王曦

What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 共和党众议员将推动立法阻止采购俄罗斯石油

    Likely · Within weeks

  • 乌克兰将取消下一轮与美方的会谈

    Very likely · Within days

Open Questions

  • 能源停火是否会在战场上得到实际执行?
  • 乌克兰是否会接受被要求单方面停手的条件?
  • 共和党内部反对采购俄罗斯石油的立法能否通过?
  • 此次柴油协议对美国国内能源价格的实际影响有多大?

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This article was originally published by 中国新闻网.

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