
AI-generated summary
The state-built submarine Haikun is the first submarine developed by Taiwan itself and is expected to be delivered this year. The follow-up ships will be built according to the "2+3+2" model, that is, two lead ships, three mass-produced ships, and two follow-up improved ships. Taiwan's think tank National Defense Security Group has suggested that follow-up ships should have submarine-launched missile capabilities to strengthen underwater deterrence and asymmetric warfare.
[Reporter Hong Dinghong/Reported by Kaohsiung] The Chinese-made submarine Haikun is expected to be delivered this year, and the follow-up ship will be built in a "2+3+2" model. Taiwan's think tank National Defense and Security Group recently recommended that in order to strengthen the combat effectiveness of the submarine force, the follow-up ship should be equipped with the ability to launch submarine-launched missiles. The Haikun should also incorporate this performance improvement into the plan to build effective underwater deterrence and asymmetric combat capabilities.
In this regard, Ji Dongyun, chairman of the Taiwan Security Development Association, further analyzed that there are two types of submarine-launched missiles. The two active Stegosaurus-class submarines can already launch Harpoon anti-ship missiles from torpedo tubes, and the Haikun can also be retrofitted after delivery. However, if it is a submarine-launched cruise missile, there is currently no way, because the Chinese Academy of Sciences does not have any submarine-launched missile capabilities. Unless the United States technology is transferred, Taiwan "cannot do it within 10 years."
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Ji Dongyun pointed out as an example that the Netherlands wants to purchase Tomahawk cruise missiles launched from torpedo tubes from the United States, but the United States has stopped production. If it wants to re-produce them, it will be expensive and must use a vertical launch system. Therefore, if the Haikun is simply a submarine-launched Harpoon anti-ship missile, it can be achieved very quickly; but if it is a "submarine-launched cruise missile," the Chinese Academy of Sciences "may take 20 years" to be able to do so.
Ji Dongyun emphasized that "submarine-launched cruise missiles" are offensive weapons and must be developed by Taiwan first. The direction suggested by Taiwan's think tank is correct and highlights the value of the Chinese Academy of Sciences. However, it is too difficult and currently Japan does not have one. However, South Korea's Dosan Ahn Changho-class traditional powered attack submarine (KSS-3) has added ship sections, installed a vertical launch system, and developed its own cruise missiles. Perhaps Taiwan's subsequent submarines can refer to it.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Haikun will be delivered within this year and will be capable of launching Harpoon anti-ship missiles
Very likely · Within months
Taiwan's subsequent submarines will refer to South Korea's KSS-3 model and evaluate the installation of a vertical launch system to launch cruise missiles
Possible · Within years

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