
中央气象台预报未来10天新疆北部和西部、西北地区东南部等地累计降水量20~40毫米,四川盆地等局地达60~130毫米,海南岛东部局地超过180毫米;除青藏高原、云南西部等地平均气温偏低1~2℃外,我国其余大部地区气温偏高,新疆、甘肃西部等部分地区偏高2~4℃。9日海南岛有强降雨,9-10日青藏高原等地有小到中雨或雪,11-13日受冷空气影响北方大部地区有4~6℃降温并有4~5级风。
AI-generated summary
中央气象台发布未来10天全国天气预报,涉及降水量和气温变化。
中新网10月9日电 据中央气象台网站消息,未来10天(10月9日-18日),新疆北部和西部、西北地区东南部、华北西南部、东北地区中南部、江淮、江汉、江南西部及西南地区、西藏东部、海南岛等地累计降水量有20~40毫米,其中四川盆地、贵州西部和北部、湖南中北部、云南东北部、海南岛中东部有60~130毫米,海南岛东部局地超过180毫米;除西南地区东部、江汉、湖南北部降水量较常年同期偏多外,中东部其余大部地区降水偏少。
图片来源:中央气象台网站
未来10天,除青藏高原、云南西部平均气温较常年同期偏低1~2℃外,我国其余大部地区气温偏高,其中新疆、甘肃西部、内蒙古中西部、华北、东北地区中南部、黄淮、四川盆地、贵州等地部分地区气温偏高2~4℃。
图片来源:中央气象台网站
主要天气过程:
9日,海南岛有强降雨,大部地区有中到大雨,中东部有大到暴雨,局部大暴雨。
9-10日,青藏高原大部、四川盆地、云南东北部等地有小到中雨,其中,青藏高原东部有小到中雪或雨夹雪。此外,9日,新疆阿勒泰高海拔山区有大到暴雪,局地大暴雪。
11-13日,受冷空气影响,北方大部地区有4~6℃降温,局地降温8℃左右,并有4~5级风,局地阵风6~8级。西北地区东部、华北、东北地区、内蒙古东部及西南地区、西藏有小到中雨,局地大雨;青藏高原高海拔地区有小到中雪,局地大雪。
15-18日,西北地区东南部、东北地区、黄淮、江汉、江淮、江南西部和北部及西南地区还将有一次小到中雨,局地大雨过程。
未来11-14天天气展望
未来11-14天(10月19日-22日),新疆北部和西部、西北地区东部、内蒙古中西部、华北北部、东北地区、西南地区东部及江南东部等地部分地区累计降水量有10~30毫米,局地40~60毫米;西北地区大部、内蒙古、华北、东北地区及川西高原、西藏东部、云南等地平均气温较常年同期偏低1~2℃,我国其余大部地区气温偏高1~3℃。
高影响天气与关注
1. 海南有强降雨
9日,海南岛仍有强降雨,中东部有大到暴雨,局部大暴雨,并伴有短时强降水等强对流天气。
2. 青藏高原四川盆地等地多阴雨雪天气
未来10天,青藏高原东部、四川盆地、云南东北部、贵州西部和北部多小到中雨,青藏高原高海拔地区有小到中雪,雨日一般可达5~8天;其中13日之后,四川盆地东部、贵州等地降水有所增强,部分地区有中到大雨,局地暴雨。
3. 台风预报
西北太平洋面上还会有1~2个台风生成,未来10天对我国无影响。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
未来10天海南岛东部局地降水量将超过180毫米
Very likely · Within days
11-13日北方大部地区将受冷空气影响出现4~6℃降温
Very likely · Within days

The Taichung City Environmental Protection Bureau announced the garbage collection and transportation arrangements for the National Day holiday. Normal collection and transportation will be maintained on October 9. On October 10, the National Day will be changed to scheduled collection and transportation. On October 11, the collection and transportation will be stopped during the holiday. The public is reminded to pay attention to the time and place and respond to garbage reduction.

Heavy rainstorms occurred in the eastern part of Hainan Island, with the maximum cumulative precipitation in Wanning reaching 210.1 mm. The Hainan Provincial Meteorological Bureau continued to issue level four rainstorm warnings and red warnings, and Qionghai, Wanning and other places announced the suspension of primary and secondary schools and kindergartens. Meteorological experts pointed out that this rainfall is a typical autumn rainstorm in Hainan, caused by the easterly jet stream affected by the combination of cold and warm air. The Department of Water Affairs and the Meteorological Bureau jointly issued a yellow flash flood meteorological risk warning to remind the public to guard against secondary disasters and provide safety avoidance guidelines.

The National Climate Center announced that the equatorial central and eastern Pacific Ocean has entered an El Niño state since May 2026. The three-month moving average of the Niño 3.4 zone SST index from July to September reached 2.54°C, exceeding the super event standard. The SST index in September was 2.94°C, and the eastern Pacific warm water center was more than 3.0°C higher. It is expected that sea temperatures will continue to rise in the next three months. This event may become the strongest El Niño since systematic monitoring.

Affected by heavy rainfall, Wanning City, Hainan Province raised the flood and wind prevention level IV emergency response to level II. All primary and secondary schools in the city were suspended for half a day, and kindergartens and off-campus training institutions were suspended for one day. Rainfall in many towns exceeded 200 millimeters. The meteorological observatory issued a red rainstorm warning and jointly issued a meteorological risk warning for flash floods. The traffic police reminded citizens to pay attention to waterlogged roads.

The Central Meteorological Observatory forecast that yesterday there would be moderate or heavy rain in southern Sichuan, northwest Guizhou, central and eastern Hainan Island, and other places. Heavy rain or heavy rain would occur in parts of eastern Hainan Island. The maximum cumulative precipitation in Wanning, Hainan reached 210.1 mm. Light to moderate snow or sleet occurred in central and eastern Qinghai, with local heavy snowfall. Heavy rainfall is expected to continue in Hainan Island today, and it will be rainy and snowy in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, Sichuan Basin and other places. There were moderate to heavy rains in some areas in the mountainous areas of northern Xinjiang and southeastern Tibet. There were heavy rains in the eastern part of Hainan Island and local heavy rains. There will be light to moderate snow or sleet in the eastern part of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, and heavy to heavy snowfall in the high-altitude mountains of Altay, Xinjiang, with localized heavy snowfall. From the 9th to the 12th, the atmospheric diffusion conditions gradually deteriorated in central and southern North China, western Huanghuai and other places, with light haze in some areas. From the 10th to the 12th, there was localized moderate haze in central and southern North China. Most of Jiangsu and Anhui, central and eastern Liaoning and other places had heavy fog in the morning. Affected by the cold air from the 13th, the fog and haze in the above-mentioned areas will weaken and dissipate from north to south. Meteorological experts reminded that before the 13th, you need to pay attention to protection when going out in places such as North China and Huanghuai. Visibility is poor during heavy fog, so you must pay attention to traffic safety when driving.

The China Weather Network reported that today and tomorrow, the central and eastern parts will mainly have fine weather, with high temperatures and a large temperature difference between day and night. The rain in Hainan Island is still strong and there are heavy rainstorms in some places; the cold air will affect most of the north the day after tomorrow, and there will be strong winds and cooling, and rainfall in the central and eastern parts will increase. You need to pay attention to the weather forecast and pay attention to onion-style clothing to cope with temperature changes.