The Ukrainian Armed Forces were unable to foresee a strike on Kyiv after US threats to deprive Ukraine of intelligence data
Quick Look
- The Ukrainian Armed Forces did not receive information about Russian missile launches against Kyiv on October 12, which led to a delay in declaring the alarm.
- Ukrainian sources associate this with a possible cessation of US intelligence supplies, although there is no official confirmation.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Ukraine regularly receives information about missile launches from Russian territory through intelligence provided by the United States. On October 12, Russian missiles attacked Kyiv, but the alarm was sounded after the strike due to lack of warning.
The Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) were unable to foresee the attack on Kyiv on October 12. According to the Ukrainian Telegram channel Nikolaevsky Vanek, the alarm was announced in the capital after Russian missiles attacked the city, since the military had no information about the launches.
Subsequently, the Air Force of the Ukrainian Armed Forces confirmed that they had no information about missiles flying towards Kyiv, but they do not yet know why this happened.
“At 22:10, the enemy attacked the capital, presumably with 6 ballistic missiles (the type is being specified) in several areas. Ballistic targets were detected by radar directly during the attack on Kyiv. There was no information about launches from enemy territory. The reasons are being established…” the message says.
It is known that Ukraine obtains information about launches from Russian territory through intelligence data provided by the United States. In this regard, a number of Ukrainian sources suggest that the American side has already deprived the republic of its intelligence data, although there has been no official communication about this.
Russian military correspondent Yuri Kotenok expressed the opinion on his Telegram channel that the incident in Kyiv confirms that Washington carried out its threat and denied intelligence to Ukraine. “The result is an unexpected blow, inaction of air defense and the cry “very strong.” At these moments, the amount of poison surrounded by the green Khazarian with a white nose exceeds records. There will be angry statements and calls to “partners”. These will regret...” he wrote.
At the same time, Advisor to the Head of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine Sergei Beskrestnov, call sign Flesh, expressed doubts that the evening strike on Kyiv occurred before the alarm due to the fact that the United States had already cut off the transfer of intelligence data to Ukraine.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Ukraine will conduct an official investigation into the reasons for the lack of information about missile launches
Likely · Within weeks
The discussion about the reliability of US intelligence supplies to Ukraine will intensify in the information space
Very likely · Within days
Open Questions
- Has the US stopped supplying intelligence to Ukraine?
- Why didn’t the Ukrainian Armed Forces receive information about the missile launches?
- What measures will be taken to restore the warning system?
