
Sugar tax postponed, plastic tax suspended, electricity tax cut unlikely
AI-generated summary
The black-red coalition of CDU and SPD is negotiating the 2027 federal budget under time pressure, as the Bundestag's budget committee meets on Thursday for a reconciliation meeting. The budget is extremely tight and so far no room for maneuver has been found for subsidies and other items.
Berlin. The black-red coalition has agreed on compromises on several points of contention in negotiations for the 2027 federal budget. The sugar tax on heavily sweetened drinks is now not due to come until the beginning of 2028, a few months later than planned. A planned new tax on plastic packaging will not be levied next year for the time being. At the same time, the reduction in electricity tax for everyone, which was strongly supported by Chancellor Friedrich Merz (CDU), is becoming increasingly unlikely.
The SPD and Union factions met in the evening for special meetings on the budget. While the SPD finished after three quarters of an hour, the Union met significantly longer. The atmosphere was “poor,” it was said from those around. The coalition is under time pressure with its negotiations, as the Bundestag's powerful budget committee is scheduled to meet this Thursday for the so-called adjustment session on the 2027 budget.
The Union and the SPD have not yet found any financing to ease the burden on energy prices. According to information from the coalition factions, the issue is not completely off the table: theoretically, they could still finance the around 5.4 billion euros needed to reduce it to the European minimum at the budget adjustment meeting tomorrow. In this session, final changes will be made to the budget for 2027 before it is voted on in the Bundestag at the end of November.
However, the budget is already extremely tight; the budget managers of both factions have gone through lists of subsidies and other items and have not yet found any room for maneuver. It is therefore unlikely that the relief can come at the beginning of the year, as Merz wanted.
In the coalition agreement, the Union and the SPD agreed to reduce electricity taxes for everyone to the European minimum. However, this has so far only been implemented for the manufacturing industry and agriculture and forestry.
According to the draft introduced by the cabinet, the sugar tax should start on July 1, 2027. However, the Union had advocated a later start on January 1, 2028, also to enable manufacturers to change recipes. The tax will now be levied in three instead of two stages based on the sugar content, as the “Lebensmittel Zeitung” initially reported. It should apply, among other things, to colas, lemonades, iced teas, energy drinks and fruit juice drinks with added sugar.
Criticism came from the industry. A third tax level would place an additional burden on consumers, explained the trade association for alcohol-free drinks. The later start date does not offset the permanent higher burden. The Union and the SPD had agreed to introduce the tax as part of the passed law for stable health insurance contributions.
According to coalition circles, an agreement was reached to reverse cuts in social policy projects. This involves, for example, the immediate child allowance for low earners.
According to the SPD, there should be no cuts of 300 million euros in housing benefit. Secretary General Tim Klüssendorf told “Stern” that this is important so that hundreds of thousands of people are not left alone with rental costs. SPD specialist politician Hendrik Bollmann said: “Although there will be no adjustment on January 1st, all cuts planned beyond that are off the table.”
The Union also wanted to fully compensate for the cold progression in income tax caused by inflation. This occurs when incomes rise due to inflation, which means you pay higher taxes but can no longer afford more with your money. A solution to this has not yet been announced.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The Bundestag's Budget Committee will decide on the final changes to the 2027 budget on Thursday.
Very likely · Within days
The sugar tax will start in three stages at the beginning of 2028.
Likely · Within months
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The Union and the SPD have not agreed on counter-financing for a reduction in electricity tax. The tax cut desired by the Union has not been canceled, but should be implemented around the beginning of 2028, said Union parliamentary group leader Thorsten Frei. The plastic tax will not come, the sugar tax will be postponed to 2028. There is also no agreement on counter-financing to completely compensate for the cold progression.
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The black-red coalition agreed on compromises in the budget discussions: the sugar tax will come in three stages at the beginning of 2028, the plastic packaging tax will not be levied for the time being, the electricity tax cut is unlikely and the cold progression will not be fully compensated. Social policy cuts are being partially reversed.

The black-red coalition has agreed on several budget points: The sugar tax on heavily sweetened drinks is only to be introduced in three stages at the beginning of 2028. An electricity tax cut for everyone and a plastic tax are off the table for now. Cuts in social policy projects such as the immediate child allowance should be reversed.