AfD more than twice as strong as the CDU - Kretschmer more popular than opposing candidates

The Saxon CDU is losing popularity. As an Insa survey commissioned by “Bild” showed, the Union would only get 20 percent in a state election. This would mean that Prime Minister Michael Kretschmer's party was 11.9 percentage points below its result from 2024, when it emerged from the election as the strongest force.

The AfD, on the other hand, would gain 10.4 percentage points, which would bring it to 41 percent and would therefore be more than twice as strong as the CDU. The left would also benefit. With 9 percent, the party would double its state election result.

Since 9 percent of voters chose parties that fail the five percent threshold, the majority would be 46.5 percent. However, the CDU, SPD, Greens and Left together only come to 42 percent. With the help of the BSW, a five-party alliance against the AfD could be formed. The AfD, together with the BSW, would get 49 percent, which would also mean a majority in the state parliament.

Kretschmer himself is more convincing than the values ​​for his party. If the Prime Minister were directly elected, 39 percent would choose the CDU politician and 17 percent would choose the AfD state leader Jörg Urban. In a direct comparison with federal chairman Tino Chrupalla, this would come to 30 percent. Kretschmer would prevail again with 42 percent