In Brazil the possibility of releasing Jair Bolsonaro from prison returns, decision after ballot
Kassio Nunes Marques intends to rule on the motion after the October 25 ballot
Quick Look
Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Kassio Nunes Marques considers granting bail to Jair Bolsonaro after the October 25 runoff elections, believing there are excesses in the judicial proceedings.
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Why It Matters
Jair Bolsonaro has been sentenced to 27 years and three months in prison following proceedings relating to an alleged coup plot.
Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Kassio Nunes Marques intends to rule on Jair Bolsonaro's request for release from prison immediately after the October 25 runoff elections, regardless of who wins the presidential race between outgoing President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva and Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, the former president's son.
The judge is considering granting Bolsonaro's provisional release - currently under house arrest - through a precautionary measure, although the most likely scenario is that the case (a request for criminal review filed by the defense of the former right-wing leader) is referred to the plenary of the Court.
According to various journalistic sources, Nunes Marques told his collaborators that he believes that the proceedings relating to the alleged coup plot - led by judge Alexandre de Moraes and culminating in Bolsonaro's sentence to 27 years and three months in prison - are characterized by a series of "excesses".
Flávio Bolsonaro has promised to pardon his father if he wins the elections, but is confident in a decision from the judiciary that will allow his parent to walk up the ramp of the Presidential Palace with him.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Pronouncement on the request for release after the ballot
Likely · Within days
Open Questions
- What will be the final decision of the plenary of the Court?
- Who will win the October 25 presidential runoff?






