
More than 100 Chinese vessels have been deployed in the western Pacific and South China Sea, prompting analyst questions about whether Beijing is rehearsing operations to block US and allied intervention in a Taiwan conflict, though no large-scale drill has been announced.
AI-generated summary
Recent mainland Chinese naval deployments in the western Pacific and South China Sea have raised questions over whether Beijing is rehearsing operations to stop US and allied forces from intervening in a Taiwan conflict, according to analysts.
More than 100 vessels have been reported in the western Pacific and South China Sea but no large-scale drill has been announced
Recent mainland Chinese naval deployments in the western Pacific and South China Sea have raised questions over whether Beijing is rehearsing operations to stop US and allied forces from intervening in a Taiwan conflict, according to analysts.
Beijing has not announced any large-scale drill in relation to recent People's Liberation Army (PLA) naval activities.
But a November 6 assessment by US-based think tank the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) said the PLA could be conducting a major exercise simulating the isolation of Taiwan, with warships positioned to deter or prevent outside intervention.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Beijing may announce a large-scale military drill simulating the isolation of Taiwan.
Possible · Within weeks

The People's Liberation Army of China has recently assembled more than a hundred naval and coast guard vessels in the Western Pacific, and the U.S. think tank ISW has concluded that it may conduct an unannounced large-scale "silent military exercise." It is less than a month before the nine-in-one election on November 28, which has attracted attention. Looking back at the 60 days before each election from 2016 to 2024, the CCP’s military pressure took different forms, including aircraft crossing the Taiwan Strait, intensive military aircraft activities, airborne balloons, and unannounced fleet deployments. However, not every election increased military pressure, and there is currently no sufficient evidence to prove that military activities directly target the election.

The U.S. Air Force held a groundbreaking ceremony on November 5 at Dyess Air Force Base in Texas, spending $78 million to build a mission planning center to prepare for the future deployment of B-21 "Raider" stealth bombers. Dyess will become the third major B-21 operating base, joining Ellsworth, South Dakota, and Whiteman, Missouri.

On the day of the "118 Coast Patrol Day", the Coast Guard's Third Coast Patrol Team handled four cases in succession, including fishing violations, rescue of people falling overboard, search and rescue of missing people, and buoyancy failure and stranding, demonstrating the coast patrol's ability to protect maritime security around the clock.

The Airports and Ports Bureau revised the "Principles for Reviewing the Period of Permit for Non-resident Yachts Applying to Visit Taiwan" and added that Chinese-owned yachts are prohibited from coming to Taiwan. Violators will be fined up to NT$300,000 and must leave the port immediately. Ji Dongyun, chairman of the Taiwan Security Development Association, pointed out that if Chinese-funded yachts carry attack drones to raid, it will pose a great threat to Taiwan's important ports. He gave the example of Ukraine's Spider Web operation and emphasized that Taiwan needs to strengthen prevention.

China's third aircraft carrier, the Fujian, has been in service for one year since November 5 last year. CCTV revealed that it has completed the electromagnetic catapult take-off and landing of multiple types of carrier-based aircraft, cross-sea navigation and preliminary formation training, and has basically formed combat effectiveness. However, the US military media believes that it remains to be seen whether it can complete all combat effectiveness certifications in about one year of service. The Chinese Navy has not officially announced that it has achieved complete combat capabilities.

Huida CEO Jen-Hsun Huang admitted to being unfaithful to his wife. U.S. intelligence agencies suspect that a Chinese female company executive with whom he has close connections may have been recruited by Chinese intelligence agencies in an attempt to collect information on advanced artificial intelligence chips and influence export policies. The author points out that human weakness is the most difficult aspect of national security to guard against, and is far more serious than technical vulnerabilities.