In the analysis news titled "Democratic tsunami in the USA: Three major challenges facing Israel after the defeat of the Republicans" published in the Jerusalem Post newspaper, the possible effects of the election results on Israel were discussed.
The article pointed out that the results of the US midterm elections could have an impact on many areas, from the Washington administration's Iran policy to US-Israel relations, and could reshape the Israel-US relationship. "This defeat came at a time when far-reaching changes were experienced within the Democratic Party regarding Israel, the war with Iran, and the strategic relationship between Tel Aviv and Washington."
In the article, it was stated that the election results brought about three important developments that could affect US President Trump's Iran policy, the balance of power in Congress and the 2028 presidential elections.
Pointing out that the attitude towards Israel has changed within the Democratic Party, the article emphasized that this change is important for the future of strategic relations between Washington and Tel Aviv.
THE IRAN WAR BROUGHT POLITICAL COSTS TO TRUMP
The analysis included the assessment that the war with Iran created a significant political cost for the Republican Party in the election process.
It was stated in the article that even the commentators of the pro-Republican media outlet Fox News stated that the election results "could have been much different if there had been no war", and that Trump also accepted that the Iran issue was effective in his election defeat, saying "Iran had a share in the loss".
The analysis reported that 62 percent of the participants in the exit polls were against the Iran war. The analysis said, "The political message given to Trump is clear: The American people are not very keen on a long-lasting war in the Middle East. So how will the President reflect this message in politics?" The question was asked.
In the analysis, it was stated that there are two possible scenarios in front of the Trump administration. According to the first scenario, Trump may intensify diplomatic initiatives, make concessions in negotiations with Tehran, and present a possible agreement as a "diplomatic success" that removes the United States from the conflict.
It was evaluated that the second scenario could involve ending the war with a "short-term but effective" operation, and that such a step could provide Trump with the opportunity to declare "victory", declare that the USA has "achieved its goals" and rapidly reduce his country's military presence in the region.
On the other hand, the analysis noted that in both scenarios, Israel's interests may not coincide with the priorities of the White House, and it was stated that this situation could become one of the main sources of tension in the relations between the two countries.
THE BALANCE OF POWER IN CONGRESS MAY AFFECT ISRAEL
The analysis emphasized that Republicans losing their majority in Congress could have important consequences for Israel.
The article points out that the views on the approach to Israel, the Iran war and the US-Israel strategic relationship have changed within the Democratic Party, and it is stated that the new political balance in Congress may be reflected in Washington's Israel policy.
The analysis also stated that calls within the Democratic Party to reduce US military aid to Israel, to tie aid to certain political conditions, and to re-evaluate the special relationship between the two countries are gaining increasing support. It was pointed out that these views, which were previously defended by a limited segment within the party, have now become more visible.
2028 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS ARE IMPORTANT FOR ISRAEL
The analysis included the assessment that one of the most important long-term effects of the election results for Israel could be the 2028 US presidential elections.
The article stated that the attitude towards Israel within the Democratic Party has changed, and noted that this change could shape the discussions on US Middle East policy before the 2028 presidential race.
In the analysis, it was noted that the political successes of figures such as Zohran Mamdani and Abdul El-Sayed, who loudly objected to Israel's genocide against the Palestinians and Israel's influence in US politics, could be an example for other Democratic candidates, and it was evaluated that the 2028 presidential candidates could adopt a more critical attitude towards Israel compared to previous election periods.
