
If France does not give written notification, the ship's operation within the borders of Türkiye's continental shelf may lead to a crisis.
AI-generated summary
Diplomatic contacts regarding the cable project continue between Ankara and Paris. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs stated that the consent process has not been completed yet. If France does not give written notification, the ship's operation within the continental shelf boundaries, which Türkiye notified the UN on March 18, 2020, could lead to a crisis.
Paris, which is the executor of the project, is expected to untie the knot between Ankara and Athens. It is considered that if Paris does not provide a written notification as requested by Ankara, tensions may escalate in the Eastern Mediterranean.
EXPECTATION NOT MEET
In its statement the previous evening, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs pointed out that "the consent process has not yet been completed" regarding the cable project, indicating that diplomatic contacts between Ankara and Paris are continuing to resolve the problem. However, the expressions used in the statement also revealed that France's initiatives have not yet satisfied Ankara.
According to the Greek media, the French research ship "Abeille Marengo" is expected to leave Crete's Heraklion port tomorrow and sail to the Eastern Mediterranean to begin research. It is stated that the ship will first operate in Greek territorial waters.
THERE IS A DANGER OF CRISIS
However, if France does not make the necessary written notification to Ankara within this period, the ship's start to operate in the region within the continental shelf borders that Turkey notified the United Nations on March 18, 2020, may trigger a crisis. In this case, it is on the agenda for Ankara to take steps to stop the work. Such a development could cause a repeat of the tension that confronted Turkish and Greek warships two years ago.
According to Kathimerini newspaper, Greece clearly conveyed to the French that the communication with Türkiye should not be a "request for permission". It was also claimed that France was disturbed by the debate growing in public. It was evaluated in the Greek press that the situation showed that Paris could not adequately understand the political dimension of the cable project for Athens and Ankara.
It is stated that the French research ship will leave Crete tomorrow and operate primarily in Greek territorial waters.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
France can give written notice to Ankara and prevent the crisis.
Possible · Within days
If France does not give written notice, Türkiye may take steps to stop the operation of the ship.
Likely · Within days

Trilateral negotiations will be held next week in Abu Dhabi between the technical delegations of the USA, Russia and Ukraine. However, Putin filled the Russian delegation with representatives of the hawkish wing. While the energy infrastructure was targeted with a ballistic missile attack in Kiev, Ukraine continues to attack Russian oil refineries.

Damage after rain in Gaza reached $3 million; Civil Defense received approximately 1,500 calls in 10 hours, water levels in shelter areas rose to 30-40 centimeters, Şifa Hospital emergency service was out of service for 4 hours, and the UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs called for winter shelter materials, heavy construction equipment and increased funding.

US Central Command (CENTCOM) announced that it shot a commercial ship in the back in the Gulf of Oman on the grounds that it violated the naval blockade against Iran. During the same period, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps reported that two oil tankers hit a mine in the Strait of Hormuz and the fire continued. According to CENTCOM, 147 ships have changed direction since July and 5 ships have been neutralized.
The Civil Defense Directorate issued a danger warning in Dammam, Ahsa and Bukayk through the National Emergency Early Warning Platform and called on citizens to move to a safe room. Shortly after, it was reported that the danger was over. It was stated that the conflicts in Yemen have increased and the Iran-backed Houthis are targeting Saudi Arabia with ballistic missiles and UAVs.
The Civil Defense Directorate issued a danger warning in Dammam, Ahsa and Bukayk through the National Emergency Early Warning Platform and called on citizens to move to a safe room. Shortly after, it was reported that the danger was over. It was stated that the conflicts in Yemen have increased and the Iran-backed Houthis are targeting Saudi Arabia with ballistic missiles and UAVs.

Former British intelligence officer Alastair Crooke and INSS director Tamir Hayman evaluate that the political and physical weaknesses of Trump and Netanyahu after the elections in the USA and Israel may lead to an Iranian attack through the symbiotic axis of 'two lame ducks'. Who Israeli President Herzog will give the task of forming the government, the evaluation of Gadi Ayzenkot as an alternative that may be supported by Arab parties, and personnel changes in the White House increase the uncertainty in the region.