
Prediction market platform records 1,520% increase in US visits as trading volume hits $40 billion
AI-generated summary
Kalshi is currently involved in a legal dispute with New Jersey regarding whether its event contracts should be classified as sports betting under federal or state law.
Major prediction market platform Kalshi has seen its US web traffic explode over the past year, underscoring the platformās rapid growth while regulators and courts scrutinize its expanding event-contract business.
Kalshi recorded 15.4 million visits from the United States in July, up about 1,520% from just under 1 million in August 2025, according to Similarweb traffic estimates reviewed by Cointelegraph on Friday.
US traffic accounted for nearly 80% of Kalshiās traffic in July, up from 72.8% in August 2025, showing that its growth has remained heavily concentrated in the country.
The surge comes as Kalshi faces mounting legal challenges over whether its sports contracts fall under federal oversight or state gambling laws, with New Jersey taking the dispute to the US Supreme Court.
Trading volume outpaces traffic growth
Kalshiās surge in web traffic has come alongside even faster growth in trading activity, as prediction markets have expanded rapidly over the past year.
Kalshi recorded about $40 billion in monthly notional trading volume in August, up from $874 million a year earlier, an increase of roughly 4,500%, according to a Dune Analytics prediction market data dashboard.
Across the prediction-market industry, monthly notional volume rose to $50.7 billion from about $2 billion over the same period, with Kalshi accounting for nearly 79% of the latest total.
Sports contracts accounted for 83% of Kalshiās trading volume in July, Barronās reported Thursday.
Kalshi draws growing traffic from restricted jurisdictions
Canada generated about 450,000 visits to Kalshiās website in July, up from roughly 50,000 in August 2025, while UK traffic increased to 296,000 from 31,000.
Both Canada and the UK are among the jurisdictions where Kalshiās member agreement currently prohibits users from directly accessing or trading on Kalshiās platform. Kalshi partnered with Canadian financial services company Wealthsimple in June to provide access to nearly 4,000 eligible Kalshi contracts through a separate app.
From August 2025 to July 2026, Canadaās share of Kalshiās traffic slipped to 2.3% from 3.8%, while the UKās share fell to 1.5% from 2.4%, even as visits from both countries increased.
Cointelegraph contacted Kalshi for comment on the traffic from restricted jurisdictions but had not received a response by publication.
AI outlook ā possibilities, not facts
Supreme Court to rule on federal oversight of Kalshi contracts.
Likely Ā· Within months

Bitcoin fell below $80,000 after a stronger-than-expected US jobs report raised expectations for continued Federal Reserve rate hikes, triggering a broad market reaction that affected crypto, bonds, the dollar, and commodities.

ProCap Financial sold approximately 50 BTC to repurchase over 2% of its common stock while shares traded about 40% below net asset value, increasing Bitcoin exposure per remaining share by 1.1% as part of an ongoing buyback strategy that has retired roughly 10% of outstanding shares since inception.

The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency granted preliminary conditional approval to Revolut and crypto banking startup OpenReserve to establish national banks in Connecticut and Utah, respectively, enabling both to offer cryptocurrency custody, stablecoin services, and tokenized deposits pending final approval.

Crypto projects spent approximately $640 million on token buybacks in 2026, a 17% increase from the prior year, with Hyperliquid and Pump.fun accounting for nearly 90% of spending. While buybacks can support token economics and align holder incentives with protocol success, critics argue they may divert funds from development and do not guarantee price appreciation, raising questions about their long-term sustainability and regulatory classification as securities.

Bitcoin rose above $81,000 on Thursday as easing interest rate fears and strong inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs drove broader crypto market gains, with Ethereum, XRP, and Solana up over 5% and Zcash and Cardano rising more than 10%. The rally is shifting from short-covering to fresh institutional demand, though options traders remain cautious near key resistance levels.

Crypto markets surged as Bitcoin reclaimed $81,000 and ETF inflows hit $730 million. Altcoins like ZEC and HYPE reached all-time highs, while market sentiment improved ahead of the August jobs report, which may influence future Federal Reserve rate decisions.