The Liberals' support is increasing and approaching the Riksdag barrier according to Verian and Novus

This may be due to a longer survey period, which extends over two weeks, which evens out the changes. Verian's research period starts earlier and ends later than Novus.

However, the trend in both surveys is similar.

L's rise is reinforced

The rise of the Liberals gains momentum during the period and during the second survey week the party approaches the parliamentary barrier to the Riksdag of four percent. Thus, L meets the requirement of 3.5 percent for support votes that SD leader Jimmie Åkesson spoke about. For the entire survey period, however, L lands at 3.0 percent.

Verian's survey shows that the uptrend of L is reinforced in the second week.

Outreach may have helped L

An important explanation may be that the Liberals' vulnerable situation has received a lot of media attention in the past week, not least after Jimmie Åkesson's outburst about support votes last Saturday. L leader Simona Mohamsson has repeatedly spoken about the party's key role for continued Tidöstyre. The discussion may have benefited the Liberals.

The Social Democrats receive higher support in Verian's survey than in Novus. But here, too, a reinforced downward trend is visible during the second survey week. If these numbers hold, S risks making a worse choice than in 2018, when the party received 28.3 percent. It was the Social Democrats' worst election result since universal suffrage was introduced.

Red lines

The decline for S may be due to ambiguities surrounding the red-green government alternative, red lines between not least C and V, as well as unclear statements from the party on several election issues.

SVT/Verian's survey shows that the Liberals take voters from M, S and SD. The Social Democrats are also losing to the Left Party, which can benefit from S's move to the right to attract centrist voters. V has an upward trend during the second survey week. The Center Party is also strong here.

M scores poorly, but recovers during the second week of the survey. The block difference also decreases during the measurement period, landing in the second week at around six percentage points.

Still, about a million voters are undecided, and have not made up their minds.

If the current trend holds, then the election could be even.