Trump denies poll results and encourages MAGA supporters to vote in midterm elections
Quick Look
- President Donald Trump denied the results of opinion polls on social media, claiming that his approval rating was 47-50%, and quoting election strategist Dick Morris to say that the Republican Party could keep the House of Representatives.
- However, a New York Times poll revealed that his approval rating was significantly different at 37%.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
President Trump was elected in the 2024 presidential election, but his approval rating has been declining in opinion polls since taking office, and he is making efforts to rally his support base ahead of this midterm election.
The claim that '49% approval rating is enough for the Republican Party to win the House of Representatives in the midterm elections' is also cited.
(Washington = Yonhap News) Correspondent Park Seong-min = On the 4th (local time), U.S. President Donald Trump denied various opinion poll results showing that his approval rating was at an all-time low due to high oil prices and high inflation, and encouraged his strong support group, MAGA, to vote in the midterm elections.
President Trump wrote on the social media platform TruthSocial on this day, "Public opinion polls have always underestimated Mark. They (opinion polling companies) tried to suppress voting, but I won all seven swing states, the national vote, 86% of the counties, and 99% of this year's primaries."
After pointing out that public opinion poll companies failed to properly capture Trump's hidden supporters ahead of the election, he mentioned the results of the 2024 presidential election in which he won and the winning percentage of the candidate he supported in this year's Republican midterm election primary.
In fact, during the 2024 presidential election, various opinion polls showed that President Trump and former Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential candidate, were in a very close race until the last minute, but after the vote counting began, President Trump maintained the upper hand, resulting in a landslide victory.
President Trump then said, “I’m on the ballot.”
This can be interpreted as encouraging his supporters to think and vote as if he was running in this midterm election.
In particular, President Trump specifically cited a positive midterm election outlook statement given to him by election strategist Dick Morris, who was a political advisor to former Democratic President Bill Clinton and then moved to the Republican camp.
Morris cited the results of Jim McLaughlin, the Trump campaign's longtime pollster, and said, "Your approval rating has always been between 47 and 50 percent in McLaughlin's monthly polls since November 2025."
In particular, Morris said that McLaughlin's poll this month showed that President Trump's approval rating was 49%, and that the popular vote was expected to be 50% Democratic and 48% Republican. "This figure alone is enough for the Republican Party to keep the House of Representatives. Past records show that if the Democratic lead is less than 4 percentage points, the Republican Party has a good chance of winning the House," President Trump claimed.
However, President Trump's approval rating of '49%' is very different from the election poll results commonly cited by American media.
According to the average results of the latest opinion poll compiled by the New York Times (NYT) on this day, President Trump's approval rating was 37% and his disapproval rating was 61%.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Republicans will retain control of the House in the midterm elections
Possible · Within weeks
Open Questions
- What is the source of Trump's claimed 49% approval rating?
- How reliable is the opinion poll cited by Dick Morris?
- How will Trump's encouragement for the midterm elections affect actual voter turnout?







