Midterms 2026: the loss of the Latino vote, symbol of the rout of the Republican camp

The blue wave of the mid-term elections was a tidal wave in the Latin American electorate. It is within this electoral bloc that the shift to the left has been most marked. Since 2016, Trump had continued to improve his scores among Hispanics, even collecting 48% of their votes when he returned to power in 2024. But this Tuesday, this score dropped to 33% for the Republicans.

The best symbol of this spectacular electoral conquest is Texas, which switched to the Democratic side. About 40% of the population of this long-standing Republican state is of Latino origin. It ranks third among states with the highest proportion of Hispanics, behind California and New Mexico, both Democratic. In Texas, the Democratic Party made gains almost proportional to the percentage of Hispanic voters in all of its House districts.

The most striking example is that of Starr County, in the valley...