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Lake Constance is an important lake in Central Europe, surrounded by Germany, Switzerland and Austria. Its water level depends heavily on precipitation, snowfall in the Alps and meltwater. In recent years, extreme weather conditions that have been linked to climate change have been increasingly observed.
The Baden-Württemberg State Environmental Agency (LUBW) does not expect the low water levels in Lake Constance to recover any time soon. According to the authority's assessment, rainfall in autumn and winter would have to be "significantly above the normal level for this time of year" in order for water levels to recover sustainably.
Lake Constance received exceptionally little water this year. The water level in Konstanz is currently 248 centimeters - around 89 centimeters below the long-term average for this point in time, as stated in the management report from the low water information center.
According to LUBW, there are several factors behind the tense situation. Comparatively little snow fell in the Alps last winter. This means that there was a lack of meltwater in the spring that reaches Lake Constance via the Alpine Rhine. In addition, there was low rainfall and high evaporation in the warm months. September was also unusually dry in Baden-Württemberg. According to preliminary information from the German Weather Service, only around 19 liters of rain fell per square meter in the state - only around 27 percent of the long-term September average.
Lake Constance usually only reaches its lowest water levels in winter. In the second half of the year, less water enters the lake. In late summer the inflows decrease. A large proportion of precipitation falls as snow in autumn and winter.
Climate change affects Lake Constance
According to current forecasts, the water level will rise slightly in the coming days. But overall it remains too dry. Switzerland's National Drought Platform reported drought level 4 (major danger) for parts of the Lake Constance catchment area. Shipping was partially suspended on the German-Swiss border last week due to low water levels.
According to LUBW, it is currently impossible to predict how quickly Lake Constance will fill up again. A lot of rain could provide relief in the short term. What is also crucial for the coming spring is how much precipitation is stored as snow in the Alpine catchment area in winter and later reaches Lake Constance as meltwater.
However, according to LUBW, it is certain that climate change will change the conditions in the Lake Constance area in the long term. Rising temperatures influence, among other things, snow and melting processes in the Alpine catchment area. However, the LUBW emphasizes that extreme water levels are possible in both directions - from high water to extremely low water. The fact that the lake currently has exceptionally little water does not mean that Lake Constance will dry out in the future.
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In Lower Saxony and Bremen it will be uncomfortable in the coming days with rain, stormy winds and possible thunderstorms. Cloudy conditions and isolated rain are expected along the North Sea on Wednesday, while sunshine will shine in the southeast. Heavy, showery rain may occur on Thursday night, accompanied by stormy north winds. Temperatures drop to 10 to 13 degrees. On Thursday it will remain very cloudy and rainy with a maximum temperature of 15 degrees and further stormy northwest to north winds on the coast. On Friday night, changing clouds with showers are expected with lows between 6 and 9 degrees. On Friday, rain will move in from the west, while it will initially remain light in the southeast.
The German Weather Service warns of bad autumnal weather with local thunderstorms, heavy rain of up to 30 liters per square meter and stormy gusts in Baden-Württemberg from Wednesday evening to Thursday, followed by further rain and cooler temperatures until Friday.