
AI-generated summary
Quaest Research measured voting intentions for the government of Santa Catarina at three moments: August, September and October 2026.
In August, Jorginho Mello, from PL, had 50%. In September, 54%. Now, it has 57%. With the margin of error, it varies from 55% to 59%. João Rodrigues, from the PSD, had 17%. Then 13%. Now 12%. With the margin, from 10% to 14%. Gelson Merísio, from PSB, had 4%; then 10%; and now 9%. With the margin, from 7% to 11%. João Rodrigues and Gelson Merísio are technically tied within the margin of error. Professor Marcus Sodré, from PSTU; Ralf Zimmer, from PRD; and Marcelo Brigadeiro, from Missão, have 1% each. The other candidates did not score. Undecided are 14%. Whites, null or not going to vote make up 5%.
Now, Quaest's numbers for Santa Catarina considering valid votes. The institute states that Jorginho Mello, from PL, has a good chance of being re-elected in the first round. It appears with 71% of valid ones. Considering the margin, it varies from 69% to 73%. João Rodrigues, from PSD, 14%. With the margin, it can go from 12% to 16%. Gelson Merísio, from PSB, has 12%. With the margin, it can go from 10% to 14%. João Rodrigues and Gelson Merísio are technically tied within the margin of error. Marcelo Brigadeiro, from Missão, has 2%. Professor Marcus Sodré, from PSTU, has 1%. The other candidates did not score.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Jorginho Mello could be re-elected in the first round
Likely · Within weeks

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