Phillies vs. Braves Game 3 Preview: Phillies -110 Favorites in Wild Card Series Decider
Quick Look
- The Philadelphia Phillies face the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of the NL Wild Card Series at Truist Park, with a spot in the NL Division Series on the line.
- Philadelphia forced the deciding game with a 4-3 10-inning win on Wednesday.
- The Phillies are -110 money-line favorites, and the SportsLine Projection Model recommends taking the Over 7.5 combined runs based on 10,000 simulations.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Phillies and Braves are meeting in Game 3 of the NL Wild Card Series after splitting the first two games. Philadelphia won Game 2 in 10 innings to force the decider, while Atlanta won Game 1. The Braves won the NL East with a 94-68 record, while the Phillies finished second in the division at 88-74.
A spot in the NL Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers will be on the line when the Philadelphia Phillies take on the Atlanta Braves in Game 3 of their Wild Card Series on Thursday. Philadelphia forced a deciding third game with a 4-3 10-inning win on Wednesday. The Phillies (88-74), who placed second in the NL East, are 46-37 on the road this season, including the 2026 MLB playoffs. The Braves (94-68), who won the division, are 53-30 on their home field. The Phillies are expected to send right-hander Aaron Nola (7-12, 4.67 ERA) to the mound. The Braves are expected to pitch right-hander Grant Holmes (10-6, 3.44 ERA), potentially following an opener. Claim the latest Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS to get a $25 bonus after $10 deposit:
First pitch from Truist Park in Atlanta is set for 8 p.m. ET. The Phillies have won each of the three prior postseason series between the two. Philadelphia is a -110 favorite on the money line (risk $110 to win $100) in the latest Phillies vs. Braves odds, while the over/under is 7.5. Before making any Phillies vs. Braves picks, be sure to see the Braves vs. Phillies predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and enters the 2026 MLB playoffs on a 31-25 run on all top-rated MLB money-line picks at betting sites, returning more than $900 for $100 players. Anyone following its picks at MLB betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Phillies vs. Braves and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Braves vs. Phillies:
New to sports trading? Visit our Kalshi promo code review and get a $55 trading bonus after $25+ in trades with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS55:
Top Phillies vs. Braves predictions
After 10,000 simulations of Phillies vs. Braves, the model is going Over 7.5 combined runs for over/under betting. The Over is 3-1 over the Phillies last four games, while it is 5-3 over the Braves last eight games. Additionally, four of the last five matchups between these two have seen the total get eclipsed.
SportsLine's model projects 1.5 total bases or more for the Phillies' Bryce Harper, Kyle Schwarber and Trea Turner. The Braves, meanwhile, are projected to get 1.4 total bases or more from Ronald Acuna Jr., Matt Olson and Michael Harris. The model projects the teams to combine for 8.5 total runs, as the Over hits 58% of the time. Get the Phillies vs. Braves money-line pick at SportsLine.
How to make Braves vs. Phillies picks
After simulating every pitch of Phillies vs. Braves 10,000 times, the model also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can get that pick at SportsLine.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Over 7.5 combined runs will hit in Phillies vs. Braves Game 3
Likely · Within hours
Phillies will win Game 3 and advance to the NL Division Series
Likely · Within hours
Open Questions
- Will the Braves use an opener before Grant Holmes?
- How will Aaron Nola perform after a 7-12 regular season record?
- Which team's projected total bases leaders will exceed expectations?
