PiS with a historic decline in support. Latest polls

KO is clearly in the lead, PiS with record low support

In the latest United Surveys by IBRiS poll for Wirtualna Polska, conducted on November 6-9, 2026, the Civic Coalition won 30 percent. support – an increase of 2.8 percentage points compared to the beginning of the month. Law and Justice recorded a result of 15.5 percent, which means a decline of 2.7 percentage points and the lowest level of support in the history of this party.

Confederation came in third with 14 percent. (an increase of 0.7 percentage points), followed by Grzegorz Braun's Confederation of the Crown of Poland – 9.1%. (decrease by 2.5 percentage points). The left received 6.8 percent. (decrease by 0.3 percentage points), and Rozwoju Plus – 6.1 percent. (increase by 0.9 percentage points). PSL (4.5%), Razem Party (3.1%) and Polska 2050 (0.8%) were below the electoral threshold. The percentage of undecided people was 10.1%.

Mandates under the microscope: who will build the majority?

Wirtualna Polska, using the method of prof. Jarosław Flis from the Jagiellonian University, converted the results into seats. In the 460-seat Sejm, the Civic Coalition would have 194 deputies, PiS - 90, Konfederacja - 80, Konfederacja Korony Polskiej - 45, Left - 28, and Rozwoju Plus - 23. KO and Left together would have 222 seats, which is 9 less than needed for an independent majority. A key role in the new Sejm could therefore be played by Rozwoju Plus, which with 23 seats could tip the scales towards both KO and the Left, as well as the Right.

Pollster survey: KO even stronger, Rozwoju Plus loses

A similar picture emerges from a study by the Pollster Research Institute for "Super Express", conducted on November 9 and 10. If the elections were held next Sunday, 34.06% of voters would vote for the Civic Coalition. respondents (an increase of 0.62 percentage points), and for PiS – 22.09 percent (decrease by 0.26 percentage points). The Confederation of Freedom and Independence obtained 13.15 percent, the Confederation of the Crown of Poland - 8.52 percent, and the New Left - 7.01 percent. The largest drop was recorded by Rozwoju Plus - 4.42%. (decrease by 0.77 percentage points), which places this party below the electoral threshold.

The research was conducted on representative samples of adult Poles. The IBRiS survey for WP covered 1,000 people, and Pollster for "Super Express" - 1,052 people.