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Back台積電Q2市佔率73%領先同業,受惠AI需求與先進製程
台積電Q2市佔率73%領先同業,受惠AI需求與先進製程
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

台積電Q2市佔率73%領先同業,受惠AI需求與先進製程

Quick Look

台積電憑藉2奈米量產、3奈米產能提升及先進封裝進展,2026年第二季純晶圓代工市佔率達73%,營收年增29%,股價漲41.1%,遠超產業與大盤,獲外媒Zacks看好,本益比21.84倍低於中位數,顯示投資吸引力。

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

人工智慧需求推動對運算晶片的需求成長,台積電憑藉尖端製程與先進封裝技術領先同業。

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台積電憑藉其在尖端製程技術和先進封裝方面的持續進步,再次保持了對純晶圓代工同行的顯著領先優勢。(路透)

〔財經頻道/綜合報導〕由於人工智慧需求推動營收成長,台積電連續第二季佔73%的晶圓代工市場,該股值得買進嗎?外媒Zacks報導指出,答案是肯定的。

根據Counterpoint Research的數據顯示, 2026年第二季度,純晶圓代工產業持續受惠於人工智慧(AI)相關需求的激增,營收年增29%。產能重新配置仍然是先進和成熟製程供需失衡的主要原因。台積電保持了其主導地位,連續第二個季度佔據73%的市場份額。這得益於該公司2奈米 (N2) 晶片的量產、3奈米 (N3) 晶片產能的提升、8英寸和12英寸成熟製程的供應緊張以及先進的封裝技術。

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受此勢頭影響,台積電股價上漲41.1%,遠遠超過該行業17.9%的漲幅和標普500指數12%的漲幅。

公司近期的前景主要受其領先製程技術的持續強勁需求所驅動。人工智慧的蓬勃發展持續推動對更強大運算能力的需求,從而支撐了對尖端晶片的強勁需求。管理層表示,其客戶及其客戶,尤其是雲端服務供應商,持續發出強勁的需求訊號,使其對未來多年的人工智慧發展趨勢充滿信心。

人工智慧的興起正使CPU在人工智慧資料中心中扮演更重要的角色,從而帶動了除人工智慧加速器之外的晶片需求。台積電預計無論客戶採用x86、Arm或RISC-V架構,都將受惠於此趨勢。該公司已開始與CPU客戶合作,提供先進技術和產能,以掌握智慧體人工智慧領域的機會。

台積電也在加大資本支出,管理層表示,這與未來幾年更高的成長機會密切相關。該公司正在台灣興建13座領先的先進封裝晶圓廠,並計畫繼續在台灣投資。此外,台積電也宣佈在亞利桑那州追加1000億美元投資,用於建造支援N2及以下技術的晶圓廠以及先進封裝設施,以滿足其美國主要客戶未來多年的強勁需求。

台積電的全球計畫也持續推進,將在台灣、美國亞利桑那州和日本各新建一座N3晶圓廠,以滿足未來多年強勁的需求。同時,該公司正在對台灣的5奈米(N5)製程設備進行改造,以支援N3產能,並優化各製程節點的產能,包括靈活支援N7、N5和N3製程。

台積電的A14技術正按計畫推進,預計2027年開始預生產,2028年量產。與N2相比,A14預計在相同功耗下效能提升10%至15%,或在相同速度下功耗降低25%至30%,同時晶片密度提升近20%。公司觀察到,智慧型手機和高效能運算人工智慧應用領域的客戶對該技術表現出濃厚的興趣和積極性,客戶的流片工作已經展開,進度超前。

根據未來12個月的本益比(P/E),台積電的本益比為21.84倍,低於24.39倍的中位數。

台積電憑藉其在尖端製程技術和先進封裝方面的持續進步,再次保持了對純晶圓代工同行的顯著領先優勢,股價表現優於產業平均和整體市場。技術指標顯示,台積電股價將持續上漲。目前其本益比仍低於歷史中位數,因此此時投資台積電頗具吸引力。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 台積電將在2027年開始A14技術預生產,2028年量產

    Very likely · Within years

  • 台積電將繼續在台灣投資建設13座先進封裝晶圓廠

    Very likely · Within years

Open Questions

  • 台積電在美國亞利桑那州的新廠進度如何?
  • 先進封裝需求是否會持續超過產能供給?
  • 競爭對手如三星、英特爾是否能縮小與台積電的技術差距?

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