Russia projects coal production increase up to 662 million tons by 2050
Government-approved program outlines target, conservative, status quo, and stress scenarios for the coal sector.
Quick Look
Russia's coal production is projected to increase by 49% to 662 million tons by 2050 under a new government-approved target scenario, up from 442 million tons in 2024.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The Russian government approved a program for the development of the coal sector outlining various future production scenarios.
MOSCOW, September 23. /TASS/. Russiaβs coal production is projected to increase by 49% from 442 mln tons in 2024 to 662 mln tons in 2050 under the target scenario of the program for the coal sectorβs development. Output is expected to reach 530.1 mln tons in 2030 (up by 19% compared to 2024), and 595.2 mln tons in 2036 (up by 34%), according to the program approved by the government.
The conservative scenario suggests that Russiaβs coal production will total 454 mln tons in 2030, 460.5 mln tons in 2036, and 460.8 mln tons in 2050. Output is projected at 491.6 mln tons, 545.3 mln tons in 2036, and 586.4 mln tons in 2050, respectively, under the status quo scenario. The stress scenario implies a decrease in coal production to 438.3 mln tons in 2030, 381.3 mln tons in 2036, and 318.9 mln tons in 2050.
Domestic coal supplies are expected to rise from 179 mln tons in 2024 to 199.2 mln tons in 2030, 202.8 mln tons in 2036, and 231.7 mln tons in 2050 under the target scenario.
Open Questions
- What specific measures will drive the target scenario growth?
- How will international sanctions impact these projections?
