
Following the massive arrival of migrants in Ceuta at the end of July, Pedro Sánchez's government avoided taking responsibility, spread alternative narratives, blamed the opposition and international actors such as the US, Israel and Russia, and minimized the seriousness of the situation despite evidence to the contrary.
AI-generated summary
A finales de julio, miles de migrantes llegaron a Ceuta desde Marruecos, lo que generó una crisis humanitaria y política. El gobierno de Sánchez respondió inicialmente con silencio y luego con una serie de narrativas alternativas para desviar la atención de su gestión.
Sánchez has not devoted his time to responding to the "attack on territorial integrity" that Spain suffered at the end of July, but rather to diverting attention and concealing, behind his first grandiloquent approach, the magnitude of the events and, above all, their underlying context: Spain’s weakness vis-à-vis Morocco; or, more specifically, Sánchez’s inferiority, submission, and obsequiousness in his relationship with Mohammed VI. He quickly revealed his shortcomings when his argumentative and action plan was limited, after targeting the mafias—who did not interfere this time—to conveying to public opinion that, thanks to Morocco, a second wave would be contained.
All efforts by Sánchez and his unscrupulous shamans have been vainly focused on constructing alternative narratives and distractions. On August 1, the mismanagement of Sánchez and Yolanda Díaz claimed that "we had no information." In other words, our intelligence services are the CIA. The mismanagement assumed that it could not handle two tasks simultaneously: "The Government, fully engaged in extinguishing the wildfires, did not attend to the warning signals." As if Robles and Marlaska had been holding hoses in their hands. Indeed, two days later, the head of communications for the National Security Department was dismissed for reporting the arrival of what was then said to be 40,000 people in Ceuta.
La Moncloa’s fiction-production apparatus designed a second script in parallel on that same day, the 1st. It also failed to take hold. It tried to convince us that the return of Maghrebis and Sub-Saharan Africans normalized the situation in Ceuta. Of course, it emphasized that Moroccan authorities contributed to the return. "We are leaving," read the headlines of official press releases, featuring testimonies of disillusionment. "Ceuta regains an uncertain calm," was advertised. The sensitizing narrative approach overlapped and combined with the assertive one: Meloni tried to defend Europe’s borders in the face of Sánchez’s incapacity, and he rose above the rift to confront the European right and feed his flock.
As the shocking images and chronicles contradicted the spot broadcast about uncertain normality, the issue of transferring immigrants to the Iberian Peninsula was addressed. So thorny was the matter that the mismanagement attempted sentimentally to focus attention on vulnerable girls. The urgency did not mean that it provided an answer to what had happened. Moreover, the urgency highlighted that the problem was much more serious than Sánchez’s attitude and response suggested.
The fifth attempt at a narrative shift reveals a certain desperation. Sánchez resorted to hoaxes, considered subjects and political actors: "They facilitated the human tides." From August 11 onwards, the blame was scattered: the United States, Israel, the reactionary international... up to Russia, thanks to Germany’s allegation that Putin was behind the drone attack on Leipzig airport.
Always reverential and at the service of official narratives, funded by public money, Ignacio Molina and Pau Mari Klose published, pointed out, and established, purportedly with great seriousness, equidistance, solemnity, and moralizing tone, the order of responsibilities for what had occurred: first the PP, then Vox, and in the middle of the editorial: "The Spanish government also does not come out well from this symphony of folly. It is true that it maintained calm and avoided aggravating the episode (...) Its management confirms the value of temperance and dialogue."
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
El gobierno enfrentará nuevas mociones de censura o interpelaciones parlamentarias por su gestión de la crisis migratoria en Ceuta.
Likely · Within weeks
Se intensificarán los esfuerzos del gobierno por controlar la narrativa mediática mediante comunicados oficiales y apariciones en medios afines.
Very likely · Within days

In Saxony-Anhalt, the regional elections show the AfD with 41% in the polls, almost 20 points ahead of the CDU (23%), while Die Linke is around 12% and the SPD 9%. The Greens, BSW and FDP could be left out of parliament. The result could mark a national turnaround, especially for the CDU, which has governed the Land since 2002. The AfD could double its 2021 result (20.8%) and Merz faces criticism for his discretion in the campaign. The key is the 5% threshold: if other parties are left out, AfD needs fewer seats to achieve an absolute majority. BSW breaks with the cordon sanitaire and defends specific cooperation with AfD. The scenario raises possible minority governments or unnatural alliances to exclude the AfD from power.

A survey by Sigma Dos for EL MUNDO reveals that 33.4% of Ceuta residents have considered leaving Ceuta after the massive entry of immigrants from Morocco at the end of July, with greater intention among young people and Vox voters, while 90.9% support the militarization of the border.

Russian President Vladimir Putin assured the White House emissaries, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, that although he will continue to cooperate with the United States for a political-diplomatic settlement in Ukraine, the Russian army will achieve the objectives set in the conflict, according to Yuri Ushakov, international policy advisor to the Russian Presidency, after a three-hour and ten-minute meeting in the Kremlin.

The Minister of Youth and Children, Sira Rego, admitted in an interview on Radio 5 that the Government has a share of responsibility in the situation of extraordinary overflow experienced in Ceuta after the arrival of thousands of migrants, and asked for self-criticism and solidarity to serve both Ceuta citizens and people in vulnerable situations.
The migratory crisis in Ceuta has reactivated the Moroccan claim to sovereignty over Ceuta and Melilla in the context of the legislative elections of September 23, where historic participation has been low. Three Moroccan ministers have revived the issue despite the 2022 agreement with Spain, although the pressure has decreased after Spain's formal protest and Sánchez's statements about possible Moroccan involvement in the migratory avalanche.

Thousands of people demonstrated in Magdeburg Cathedral Square against the extreme right and in defense of democracy, while the AfD held its end-of-campaign event in a nearby theater. The organizers estimated 15,000 attendees and the police 10,000. The event had the support of civil society organizations and the participation of leaders from La Izquierda and Los Verdes. Polls give the AfD 41% voting intention, which could mean its first victory in a German state since World War II if it achieves an absolute majority.