Milan primary survey: Majorino best known, Calabresi in the lead for trust

Among the aspiring candidates in the centre-left primaries for the mayor of Milan, if they take place, Pierfrancesco Majorino has the highest level of notoriety and records a knowledge percentage of 75% (the sum of those who declare they know him well or have heard of him), 8 points higher than the figure recorded for Mario Calabresi, with deputy mayor Anna Scavuzzo following with 48%. This was revealed in the September survey by the Monitor Ixè-Milano. For the three most well-known candidates the ranking changes when the level of trust is monitored: Calabresi is at the top with 68% against 50% for Majorino and 47% for Scavuzzo.

The difference between the trust rates associated with the candidates probably orients the consensus of voters who would go to vote in any centre-left primaries, the survey highlights. In fact, within the most probable turnout range (between 40 thousand and 60 thousand participants) Calabresi obtains - among those who declare that they already know who to vote for - a minimum and maximum consensus of between 48% and 53%. The figure is significantly higher than the range recorded for Majorino (30/36%), for Scavuzzo (8/10%) and for the other candidates.

From a political point of view, in relation to the elections for the choice of the future mayor, a voting intention prevails which is more oriented towards a 'centre-left candidate' (45%) than to a 'centre-right candidate' (38%), but with a considerable space (16%) found in favor of a possible 'other candidate', i.e. not directly associated with the more traditional coalitions. According to the Monitor-Ixè survey, the consolidated belonging framework in the city is in flux and this is found in the data relating to the Milanese's predictions on the political affiliation of the future mayor. Those who predict that a centre-right candidate will become mayor in the next municipal elections (38% of Milanese think so) are 2 percentage points ahead of those who predict the victory of a centre-left candidate. The survey highlights that the prediction of 16% of citizens that the next mayor will belong to neither one nor the other coalition certainly contributes to explaining a forecast that is not consistent with the most recent differences in consensus. The survey shows the Milanese people's desire for change. In September the opinion on the quality of life in the city is sufficient (score 6.3/10), but with 2 out of 3 believing that it has worsened in recent years. Expectations for the future see 95% of citizens asking for changes in the way the city is administered: not only improvements (41%), but also radical changes (54%).