
AI-generated summary
El Niño is a natural weather phenomenon that can be exacerbated by global warming and cause droughts and floods.
The ongoing El Niño weather phenomenon may last until February next year.
"We are already seeing disruption and devastation from droughts and floods, and we expect these impacts to increase as El Niño intensifies," World Meteorological Organization (WMO) chief Celeste Saulo wrote in a press release in early September.
In a new report from the University of Chicago, climate scientists predict that more than 450,000 people will die as a result of the heat that the phenomenon brings. It is expected to mainly affect people in the Sahel region of Africa and in Southeast Asia.
The scientists also fear that additional people will die as a result of forest fires, floods and droughts that El Niño brings.
The forecasts are based on peer-reviewed methods that show how monthly temperature is associated with more heat-related deaths in 24,378 regions worldwide. The calculations were combined with forecasts of higher temperatures in the coming months as a result of El Niño.
For comparison, the average number of heat-related deaths per month over the period 1996–2025 was used.
The countries expected to be hardest hit in the next six months are Nigeria, Indonesia, Sudan, India and Brazil.
According to previous forecasts, the peak was expected to be reached at the turn of the year, but already on Monday the highest temperature so far for the phenomenon was measured.
El Niño is a natural phenomenon, but can be exacerbated by global warming.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
El Niño lasts until February next year
Likely · Within months

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