
AI-generated summary
Datafolha research released this Thursday (1st) shows the evolution of voting intentions for the government of São Paulo among the main candidates.
Tarcísio de Freitas, from the Republicans, had 50%. It repeated the 50% on Thursday (1st). Now, it has 55%. In the margin of error of 53% to 57%. Fernando Haddad, from PT, appeared 30%. Then 33%. Now, it scored 32%. The margin of error is 30% to 34%. Vera Lúcia, from PSTU, has 2%. Carlos Machado, from PCB; Izadora Dias, from PCO; and Vivian Mendes, from the Popular Unity party, have 1%. Undecided: 3%. White, null or none: 6%.
According to Datafolha, Tarcísio de Freitas is the favorite to win in the first round in São Paulo.
Tarcísio, from the Republicans, appears with 60% of the valid votes. With the margin of error, it can vary from 58% to 62%. While Fernando Haddad, from PT, has 35%. On the margin, from 33% to 37% of those valid. Vera Lúcia, from PSTU, and Carlos Machado, from PCB, each have 2% of the valid votes. Vivian Mendes, from Unidad Popular, and Izadora Dias, from PCO, each have 1%.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Tarcísio de Freitas will win the election for governor of São Paulo in the first round.
Likely · Within months

The electorate in the Ribeirão Preto region will have 1,835,060 people eligible to vote in the 2026 elections, a reduction of 2.6% compared to 2022. Forty-three of the 66 cities saw a drop in the number of voters, with emphasis on Santa Rosa de Viterbo (-8.94%). Three municipalities have more registered voters than residents: Rifaina, Santa Cruz da Esperança and Restinga. Almost one in four voters is 60 years old or over, reaching a third in Cássia dos Coqueiros. The four largest cities concentrate 48.5% of the regional electorate.

The first round of the 2026 elections takes place this Sunday (4) in the Federal District, with 2,253,132 voters eligible to vote, the largest number in the capital's history. The Taguatinga and Águas Claras electoral zone has the largest individual contingent (184,227), while the Ceilândia region (South and North) leads in total with 432 thousand voters. The TRE made 7,507 electronic voting machines available, the preparation of which was completed on Wednesday (30). 640 candidacy applications were registered, although some were rejected, including that of José Roberto Arruda (PSD) for the DF government.

Five candidates are running for government of Paraíba in the 2026 elections, with voting in the first round scheduled for October 4th. To win in the first round, a candidate must obtain more than half of the valid votes; otherwise, the two with the most votes will compete in the second round on October 25th. On the same day, voters will also vote for state, federal and presidential offices.

Voting intention research for the government of Bahia indicates that Jerônimo Rodrigues (PT) and ACM Neto (União Brasil) are technically tied, with 46% and 42% respectively, considering the margin of error. In valid votes, Rodrigues has 52% and Neto 48%. Other candidates have less than 1% and undecided candidates make up 5%.

Ronaldo Caiado, candidate for President for the PSD, aged 77, is trying to win the post for the second time after running in 1989. Married to Gracinha Caiado, candidate for the Senate for Goiás, he is an orthopedic doctor, rural producer and father of four children, one of whom died in 2022. His pre-candidacy was launched in 2025 while he was with União Brasil, before migrating to the PSD after the party announced federation with the Progressives. In 1989, he obtained 0.72% of the votes, finishing in 10th place. Caiado was a federal deputy for five terms, senator for one term and governor of Goiás for two consecutive terms (2018 and 2022), in addition to being one of the founders of the UDR. During the campaign, he sought to present himself as a third way between PT and Bolsonaro, but failed to reach double digits in voting intention polls.

Almost 13 million voters are expected to vote in the first round of elections in Rio de Janeiro this Sunday (4), with free public transport from 6am to 8pm. TRE-RJ changed the address of 277 sections in 20 municipalities, affecting around 670 thousand voters, who must confirm their voting location via the website, e-Título application or Dial TRE-RJ.