Increase in CPI and dollar/TL expectations, changes in current account deficit and growth expectations
AI-generated summary
CBRT conducted the November Market Participants Survey with 70 participants, including real and financial sector representatives and professionals, and published the results.
CBRT published the November Market Participants Survey, which was conducted with 70 participants consisting of real and financial sector representatives and professionals.
Accordingly, the October CPI increase expectation, which was 1.18 percent last month, decreased to 1.09 percent in this survey period. The increase expectation in CPI increased from 29.63 percent to 30.04 percent for the end of the year, from 23.89 percent to 24.04 percent for the next 12 months, and from 17.94 percent to 18.02 percent for the next 24 months.
Participants' year-end dollar/TL expectation increased from 51.5471 to 51.6146, and their 12-month later dollar/TL expectation increased from 59.2596 to 60.7654.
While the year-end current account deficit expectation, which was 48.5 billion dollars in the previous survey period, decreased to 46.1 billion dollars, it increased from 43.8 billion dollars to 43.9 billion dollars for the next year.
Year-end growth expectation remains unchanged
In the survey, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increase expectation for the current year remained constant at 2.9 percent, while it was maintained at 3.9 percent for the next year.
In the survey, while the CBRT's first meeting expectation regarding the policy rate was 35 percent, the second meeting expectation decreased to 34.30 percent, the third meeting expectation decreased to 33.37 percent, and the policy rate expectation for 12 months later decreased to 28.90 percent.

Goldman Sachs stated that the messages in the CBRT's Inflation Report may lead to an interest rate cut in December, but its main expectation is to keep the policy rate constant in December. While the report emphasized the slowdown in core inflation and domestic demand, it predicted that the impact of the fund crisis was greater than the CBRT's assessment and that the tightening in financial conditions could reduce growth by 0.7 points.

CBRT announced September 2026 Balance of Payments Statistics. The current account had a surplus of $2.72 billion, excluding gold and energy, the surplus was $7.342 billion. Annualized current account deficit reached 39.2 billion dollars. Crypto asset transactions were included in statistics for the first time and there was a net decrease of 10.013 billion dollars in official reserves.
According to the CBRT's November Market Participants Survey, the CPI increase expectation increased to 30.04 percent for the end of the year. While Dollar/TL expectations also increased, GDP growth expectation remained stable at 2.9 percent for the end of the year. The current account deficit expectation decreased to 46.1 billion dollars.
The 2026–2027 research by IAB Turkey and Bahçeşehir University revealed that 32.9 percent of marketing leaders have fully integrated artificial intelligence tools, 90 percent plan to increase investments in artificial intelligence-based campaigns in 2027 and reduce production costs, but budgets do not focus on data analysis and technology areas.

The 'let him come back' campaign, which started before Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang's departure, was reflected in the internal company correspondence of the employees. In messages reviewed by WIRED, an engineer requested that the board of directors formally collect employee opinions and share the findings of the investigation. Most of the more than 1,600 comments wanted Huang to return. Huang resigned from all his duties on November 12, following the independent investigation launched on November 8 and the news that he was a target of foreign intelligence. Colette Kress was appointed as interim CEO.

According to TÜİK data, construction production increased by 6.3% annually and service production increased by 2.1% in September 2026. There was a monthly decline in both sectors.