
每周经济评论:AI时代消费结构升级与新质生产力转化
今年“双11”,大模型Token产品在京东、天猫等电商平台热销,京东3C数码直播间Token包销量环比增长20倍,天猫直播间半小时售出2万亿Token。文章认为,这反映消费结构从实物商品向数字服务、智能体验延伸,是新质生产力加速转化和超大规模市场优势的体现。
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文章引用了国家统计局、商务部及《政府工作报告》等官方数据和政策,指出今年前三季度服务零售额增长5.0%,高于商品零售额4个百分点;重点平台智能眼镜、外骨骼助力器、具身智能机器人销售额分别增长1.1倍、46.4%、22.6%。中办国办《关于推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合的意见》提出全面实施“人工智能+”行动。
今年“双11”,购物车里添了新角色。除了日用百货、数码家电等传统商品,看不见摸不着的“Token(词元)”也摆上了电商货架,成为消费者竞相下单的新物件。
京东数据显示,11月2日京东3C数码采销直播间2小时直播期间,大模型Token包产品销量环比增长20倍。天猫数据显示,11月2日,天猫有直播间创下半小时2万亿Token的销售纪录。
Token摆上货架,既是人工智能加速融入生产生活的生动缩影,也是中国经济向新向优发展的鲜明注脚。
往近处看,这是消费结构升级的有力印证。
过去,“双11”是实物商品的展示舞台。如今,Token热销折射消费结构的深刻变革。从智能穿戴设备的人机交互,到智能体辅助日常办公,越来越多的消费场景正在与人工智能深度融合。为Token付费,本质上是为效率提升、创意赋能和智能服务买单,折射消费需求从传统实物商品向数字服务、智能体验延伸。
国家统计局数据显示,今年前三季度社会消费商品和服务零售总额同比增长2.6%,其中,服务零售额增长5.0%,增速高于商品零售额4个百分点。结构上的亮点尤为夺目,商务部商务大数据显示,前三季度重点平台智能眼镜销售额增长1.1倍、外骨骼助力器销售额增长46.4%、具身智能机器人销售额增长22.6%。
人工智能时代,当消费者愿意为智能化的生产生活方式付费,“囤Token”自然就有了驱动力。从传统消费延伸到智能消费,不仅能满足消费者的升级需求,更拓展了扩大内需的广度与深度。
往实处看,这是新质生产力加速转化的生动实践。
“囤Token”的主体不仅有个人,也有中小微企业。从软件开发到产品设计,再到后期宣发,中小企业的人工智能应用场景不断扩围,这背后是实体经济对智能化转型的迫切渴望,也是推动传统产业转型升级、培育壮大新质生产力的内在要求。
在科技创新和产业创新深度融合的背景下,人工智能正成为重塑未来发展格局的关键力量。在商贸流通领域,智能选品、多语种实时翻译助力跨境贸易提质增效;在生产车间,工业质检、供应链调度因人工智能而更加精准高效。中小企业购买Token,说明人工智能正从“可选项”变为“必选项”,千行百业的数字化转型正在加速推进。
当大模型从实验室走向生产一线,算力就如同工业时代的电力,成为不可或缺的新型生产要素,为新旧动能转换注入强劲动力。
往深处看,这是超大规模市场优势的集中体现。
今年的《政府工作报告》提出,“打造智能经济新形态。”从研发端人工智能大模型更新迭代,到生产端、消费端的普遍应用,中国凭借超大规模市场不仅为各类新产品、新业态提供了广阔的试验田,更为智能经济新形态的增长提供了丰沛的养分。
“双11”Token热销,背后正是庞大用户对智能化生产生活方式的主动拥抱。数据是有力证明——中国日均Token调用量已从2024年初的1000亿增长到今年3月的超过140万亿。
在超大规模市场中,海量应用场景能够支撑大模型以较低成本快速迭代,智能经济的规模效应得以充分释放。市场优势与创新活力相互激荡,不仅让算力服务从企业专属走向大众普及,更构筑起我国在人工智能时代的竞争新优势。
当然,Token摆上货架只是起点。如何完善安全治理、健全售后服务,让智能消费真正普惠可及,仍需各方共同努力。
今年10月,中办国办发布的《关于推动科技创新和产业创新深度融合的意见》提出,全面实施“人工智能+”行动,推动人工智能全方位赋能千行百业。当前,“囤Token”虽尚未成为普遍现象,却展现了智能消费蓬勃兴起的新气象。随着人工智能技术不断成熟、应用场景持续拓展,涓涓细流汇成江海,为中国经济高质量发展注入源源不断的新动能。
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
智能消费将继续扩展,更多消费场景与人工智能深度融合
Likely · Within months
中小微企业的人工智能应用场景将不断扩围
Likely · Within months

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