Treasury yields rise as traders await U.S. wholesale inflation data
The 10-year Treasury note yield touched its highest level since November 2023 ahead of crucial inflation reports and the Federal Reserve's rate decision.
Quick Look
U.S. Treasury yields rose on Thursday as investors awaited key wholesale and consumer inflation data, while renewed U.S.-Iran tensions pushed energy prices higher.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
Investors await U.S. wholesale and consumer inflation data ahead of the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision.
Treasury yields moved higher on Thursday as traders await the release of U.S. wholesale inflation data later due later in the session
The 10-year U.S. Treasury note yield — the key benchmark for mortgage borrowing, auto loans and credit card debt — was up 1.7 basis points at 4.857%. The 2-year Treasury note yield, which is typically more sensitive to short-term Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, increased 1 basis point to 4.436%.
The longer-dated 30-year Treasury bond yield, which moves in line with broader geopolitical risks, was up more than 2 basis points at 5.307%.
One basis point is equal to 0.01%, and yields and prices move in opposite directions.
U.S. yields increased on Wednesday, after Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the department will buy back $6 billion of longer-dated government bonds.
With the 10-year note yield touching its highest level since November 2023, investors are now looking ahead to key wholesale and consumer price data, due today and Friday, respectively, for clearer insights into the U.S. inflation picture and next week's Federal Reserve interest rates decision.
The PPI print — a measure of wholesale goods and services — is expected to show a 5.4% year-over-year increase during August, according to FactSet consensus estimates. That follows a 4.7% increase in last month's report. August's consumer price index is due out tomorrow.
Elsewhere, renewed hostilities between the U.S. and Iran continued to push energy prices higher, fueling inflation concerns.
West Texas Intermediate futures were last seen more than 1.3% higher at $97.37 per barrel early Thursday.
President Donald Trump said that energy prices would come "tumbling downward" after the midterm elections, adding that the war in the Middle East would conclude "immediately after the election."
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Release of U.S. wholesale inflation data later in the session
Very likely · Within hours
Release of August's consumer price index
Very likely · Within days
Open Questions
- What will the actual PPI and CPI figures show?
- How will the Federal Reserve respond in next week's rate decision?





