
SportsLine Projection Model and expert Sia Nejad release Sunday NFL best bets at BetMGM Sportsbook
AI-generated summary
BetMGM is offering a promotional bonus code CBSSPORTS for new users, with the offer depending on location. The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NFL game 10,000 times and has been up more than $5,000 for $100 players on betting sites on top-rated NFL picks since its inception.
The latest BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS gives new users $150 in bonus bets if their first bet wins or up to $1,500 in bonus bets if their qualifying wager loses. The offer depends on location. Sunday features another strong NFL schedule, including games like Texans vs. Chargers, Raiders vs. 49ers and Packers vs. Patriots before a Sunday Night Football clash of Buccaneers vs. Bears. The SportsLine Projection Model and team of experts have picks on the entire slate, including expert Sia Nejad backing Bears QB Caleb Williams to finish with over 20.5 completions as part of his Sunday NFL best bets at BetMGM Sportsbook. Patriots running back TreVeyon Henderson (illness) is inactive. Claim the latest BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS, get up to $1,500 in bonus bets, and bet on today's top games:
The model is backing the Packers to cover as 3-point underdogs against the Patriots in a matchup of two teams on a 4-1 streak as part of Sunday NFL best bets at BetMGM. Claim the latest BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS and bet on today's top games:
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $5,000 for $100 players on betting sites on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 9 of the 2026 NFL season on a 60-51 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks at NFL betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Sunday NFL best bets at BetMGM Sportsbook
Packers (+3) vs. Patriots
Caleb Williams, Bears, Over 20.5 completions
Combining the two picks into an NFL parlay betting wager at BetMGM Sportsbook, one of our best sports betting apps, would result in a payout of +279 (risk $100 to profit $279, odds subject to change). Click here to take advantage of the latest BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS:
Packers (+3) vs. Patriots
The Packers have held some high-octane offenses below their season averages this season, holding the Cowboys, Lions and Panthers to 20 points or fewer in three straight games. Meanwhile, Jordan Love has played strong offensive football, taking advantage of top playmakers such as Christian Watson, Matthew Golden and Tucker Kraft, plus Josh Jacobs is back. The Packers are 5-3 ATS this season, while the Patriots are 3-4 ATS, and 3 points is a key number that provides the safety net of a push. The model projects these trends to continue with the Packers covering in 53% of simulations. Back Green Bay by claiming the latest BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS here:
Caleb Williams, Bears, Over 20.5 completions
"Caleb Williams has hit this completions Over in each of his last three games against some pretty great defenses," SportsLine expert Sia Nejad said. "He gets another great defense this week versus the Bucs and I expect the path of least resistance to be via the passing game rather than the run. More specifically, I think the run game will be relatively inefficient and that short and intermediate passing will move the chains for the Bears. As good as this Bucs defense is playing, I'll take Ben Johnson scheming over Todd Bowles every time. Look for another solid game from Caleb Williams at home in primetime." Back Caleb Williams by claiming the latest BetMGM bonus code CBSSPORTS here:
Want more NFL picks for Sunday?
You've seen some of the model's and SportsLine team of experts' Sunday best bets. Now, get against the spread, total and money-line picks for all games, including the NFL, NBA, college football, college basketball, UFC, NHL, and more, all from the SportsLine Projection Model, which has simulated every game 10,000 times.
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Jameis Winston replaced J.J. McCarthy at quarterback after McCarthy suffered a hip injury on a quarterback keeper against the Philadelphia Eagles. McCarthy was 9-for-13 for 101 yards before leaving; the Giants scored six points.

The Chicago Bears host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday Night Football featuring Heisman Trophy-winning quarterbacks Caleb Williams and Baker Mayfield, both former first overall picks. The article offers betting picks including Bears -6, Luther Burden III over 65.5 receiving yards, Baker Mayfield over 16.5 rushing yards, Colston Loveland anytime touchdown at +165, and Kenneth Gainwell anytime touchdown at +380.

FanDuel's latest promo code offers new users up to $200 in bonus bets when they wager $5+ for four days ahead of NFL Week 9. The SportsLine Projection Model recommends Packers vs. Patriots Under 46.5 and Bears -6.5 vs. Buccaneers, with Chicago favored by 6.5 points at home and the total set at 47.5.

The New England Patriots host the Green Bay Packers at Gillette Stadium in NFL Week 9 on Sunday at 1 p.m. ET. Both teams are 5-3 coming off victories, with New England favored by 3 points and the Over/Under set at 46.5 at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Chiefs GM Brett Veach is looking to add a wide receiver before Tuesday's trade deadline, though major franchise players may be off the market. Kansas City's deep passing game has struggled since Tyquan Thornton's Week 4 injury, with Patrick Mahomes going three games without a 20+ yard pass. The Chiefs (5-2) have lost two straight and rank near the bottom in wide receiver receiving yards.

Cleveland Browns quarterback Shedeur Sanders says his comments about the New Orleans Saints defense were taken out of context ahead of his first start of the season in Week 9. Saints edge rusher Carl Granderson said his team will use the remarks as motivation.