Week 1 NFL Schedule Concludes with Giants-Cowboys Matchup as Prediction Markets Favor Dallas
Quick Look
- The Week 1 NFL schedule concludes Sunday night with the New York Giants hosting the Dallas Cowboys at MetLife Stadium, where Dallas is favored in prediction markets due to their nine wins in the last 10 meetings.
- SportsLine's model predicts a Cowboys win by 28-25, while Kalshi and Polymarket price Dallas at $0.61 per share to win versus the Giants at $0.40.
- The article also covers other Week 1 matchups including Bears-Panthers and Vikings-Packers, with projection models and market prices provided for each game, alongside promotional offers from prediction platforms.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The article discusses the conclusion of Week 1 of the NFL season, focusing on prediction market prices and analytical models forecasting game outcomes. It highlights the historical dominance of the Dallas Cowboys in their rivalry with the New York Giants, who are seeking improvement under new quarterback Jaxon Dart after a two-year span of only seven combined wins.
A loaded Week 1 NFL schedule wraps up on Sunday when the New York Giants host the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football. Kickoff from MetLife Stadium is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. Dallas has dominated this NFC East rivalry in recent years, winning nine of the last 10 meetings against New York. Kalshi, one of the largest NFL prediction markets, prices the Cowboys at $0.61 per share to beat the Giants, who are trading at $0.40 per share. Cowboys wide receiver CeeDee Lamb is trading at $0.55 per share to record 70+ receiving yards. Trade $25 and get a $25 bonus here with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS:
All of the updated Week 1 NFL prediction market prices are listed below, and SportsLine's advanced computer model has all the NFL trading advice and NFL predictions you need to make the best Week 1 NFL picks now. Trade $25 and get a $25 bonus here with the Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS:
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model entered Week 1 on a 47-32 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks on NFL prediction markets and prediction market apps could have seen strong returns. Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 1 NFL prediction market prices and locked in predictions for every NFL matchup. Trade on the NFL here with the Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS and get a $50 bonus after a $10 deposit:
Week 1 NFL predictions
Bears vs. Panthers preview
Two teams that won their respective divisions are set to square off when the Carolina Panthers host the Chicago Bears in Week 1. The Bears are coming off a season in which they finished 11-6 under their first-year head coach Ben Johnson. Quarterback Caleb Williams played well in his first season under Johnson, finishing with 3,942 passing yards, 27 touchdowns and seven interceptions. Williams finished the year throwing two or more touchdowns in eight of his final nine contests, which includes two playoff games.
Meanwhile, the Panthers topped the NFC South despite posting an 8-9 record. Panthers QB Bryce Young is coming off his best season as a professional, throwing for 3,011 yards and 23 touchdowns. Wide receiver Tetairoa McMillan was extremely effective for the Panthers in his rookie campaign, hauling in 70 receptions for 1,014 yards and seven scores.
The SportsLine Projection Model has Chicago winning this matchup on the road by a score of 27-23. Kalshi prices the Bears at $0.59 per share to win, while the Panthers are trading at $0.41 per share to win. Claim the latest Kalshi promo code CBSSPORTS when you sign up for Kalshi here:
Vikings vs. Packers preview
Two bitter rivals will collide when the Minnesota Vikings host the Green Bay Packers for an NFC North clash at 4:25 p.m. ET. Minnesota has had the upper hand over its rivals in recent years, winning three of the past four meetings with Green Bay. The Vikings are coming off a disappointing 9-8 campaign, which included a 4-4 record. Minnesota's offense averaged just 275 yards per game last season, which is why the Vikings signed former No. 1 overall pick Kyler Murray this offseason.
The Packers finished the 2025 campaign with a 9-7-1 record, losing to the Bears in the NFL Wild Card round. Head coach Matt LaFleur will look to lean on running back Josh Jacobs, who racked up 13 rushing touchdowns in 2025. Jacobs has now scored 12 or more rushing touchdowns in three of his past four seasons, but SportsLine's model is projecting Minnesota's defense to hold Jacobs to just 3.4 yards per carry on Sunday.
The SportsLine Projection Model is calling for the Vikings to walk away with a 22-20 victory at home over Green Bay. Minnesota to win is trading at $0.54 per share, while the Packers are trading at $0.47 per share to beat the Vikings. Claim the latest Underdog Predict promo code here and register with the Underdog promo code CBS:
Cowboys vs. Giants preview
This NFC East rivalry has been lopsided in recent years, with Dallas winning nine of the past 10 meetings against New York. The Giants will hope head coach John Harbaugh can turn things around after New York has picked up just seven wins over its last two seasons combined. The Giants averaged 22.4 points per game last season, and they're excited about the direction quarterback Jaxon Dart is leading the offense. During his rookie campaign, Dart completed 63.7% of his passes for 2,272 yards and 15 touchdowns, while also scoring nine rushing TDs.
Meanwhile, the Cowboys return a plethora of starters from last year's offense that averaged 391.9 yards per game, the second-best mark in the NFL. QB Dak Prescott threw for 4,552 yards and 30 touchdowns last season, and he'll remain the focal point of Dallas' offense that features two dynamic wide receivers in CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens.
The SportsLine Projection Model has Dallas winning this matchup on the road by a score of 28-25. Polymarket prices the Cowboys at $0.61 per share to win, while the Giants are trading at $0.40 per share to win. Trade on the NFL here with the Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS and get a $50 bonus after a $10 deposit:
Week 1 NFL prediction market prices
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What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Dallas Cowboys will defeat the New York Giants by a score of 28-25 in Week 1.
Likely · Within hours
Minnesota Vikings will defeat the Green Bay Packers by a score of 22-20 at home.
Likely · Within hours
Chicago Bears will defeat the Carolina Panthers by a score of 27-23 on the road.
Likely · Within hours
Open Questions
- How accurate have SportsLine's projections been in previous NFL seasons?
- What specific factors contribute to the Cowboys' dominance in the NFC East rivalry?
- Are there any regulatory concerns regarding the promotion of prediction markets with bonus offers?
- How do the promotional bonus structures (e.g., $25 for $25 traded) compare across different prediction market platforms?







