SportsLine Model Projects Over 47.5 Points in Giants-Cowboys NFL Opener
Quick Look
- SportsLine's projection model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, projects the Over 47.5 combined points for the New York Giants' 2026 season opener against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday Night Football, citing offensive trends and defensive weaknesses from the previous season.
- The model also indicates a spread pick is favorable, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m.
- ET at MetLife Stadium.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The New York Giants begin the 2026 season under new head coach John Harbaugh after a 4-13 finish in 2025. The Dallas Cowboys enter the game coming off a 7-9-1 record and seeking their first postseason appearance in three seasons.
Coach John Harbaugh makes his New York Giants debut when they open their 2026 schedule against the NFC East-rival Dallas Cowboys on 'Sunday Night Football.' The Giants have a new coaching staff after finishing the 2025 season at 4-13 and fourth in the division. The Cowboys, meanwhile, are coming off a 7-9-1 mark and second-place finish in the NFC East. Dallas is looking to make the postseason for the first time in three seasons, while New York has not made the playoffs since 2022. Malik Nabers (knee) is active after being listed as a game-time decision. Claim the latest Polymarket promo code CBSSPORTS to get a $50 bonus after $10 in trades:
Kickoff is at 8:20 p.m. ET from MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, N.J. The latest Cowboys vs. Giants odds have Dallas as a 3-point favorite, while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5. The Over was a combined 23-10-1 for the two teams last season. Before making any Giants vs. Cowboys picks, be sure to see the NFL predictions from SportsLine's projection model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on betting sites on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2026 NFL season on a 53-37 run on top-rated picks dating back to 2024. Anybody following its picks at NFL betting sites could have seen strong returns.
Now, the model has zeroed in on Cowboys vs. Giants. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Giants vs. Cowboys:
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Top Cowboys vs. Giants predictions
After 10,000 simulations of Cowboys vs. Giants, the model is going Over 47.5 combined points at betting apps. The Cowboys and their opponents combined to score 49 or more points in 13 of 17 games. Dallas averaged 27.7 points a year ago, seventh best overall. Defensively, New York gave up 25.8 points per game, 28th overall, while the Cowboys allowed 30.1 points, which was No. 30 in the league.
Dallas' Dak Prescott is projected to throw for more than 265 yards and two touchdowns. New York's Jaxson Dart, meanwhile, is projected to throw for over 230 yards and two scores. SportsLine's model projects 55 combined points between the Cowboys vs. Giants. See which team to back at SportsLine.
How to make Cowboys vs. Giants picks
In addition to going Over, the model also says one side of the spread is the better value. See what it is at SportsLine.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
The combined points scored in the Giants-Cowboys game will exceed 47.5 (Over)
Likely · Within hours
Dak Prescott will throw for over 265 yards and two touchdowns
Likely · Within hours
Jaxson Dart will throw for over 230 yards and two touchdowns
Possible · Within hours
Open Questions
- Will the Giants' new coaching staff improve performance immediately?
- Can Dak Prescott lead the Cowboys to the playoffs this season?
- How will Jaxson Dart perform in his first full season as a starter?
