Week 5 Fantasy Football rankings update

Larry Hartstein

+287

(80%)

4-1 in Last 5 NFL Picks

NFL

PHI @ JAC • Sun 9:30am

JAC -5.5

-109

Spread

Picked: Oct 5 @ 3:32pm

Analysis

The Eagles are 0-4 ATS so you have to pay a premium to fade them. I still think it's the right move given all the key Philly contributors who could miss the London game. Jacksonville won at Cincinnati despite committing 13 penalties for 125 yards. It's nearly impossible to run against the Jags, who held the Bengals to 1.5 yards per carry. That should put a ton of pressure on Jalen Hurts and his depleted receiving corps. This line could close higher depending on the Eagles' injuries, so I prefer laying it now under the semi-key number of 6.

R.J. White

+286

(71%)

5-2 in Last 7 NFL Team Props Picks

NFL

PHI @ JAC • Sun 9:30am

Philadelphia

Under 17.5

-122

Away Team Total

Picked: Oct 6 @ 3:27pm

Analysis

This spread has ballooned since it opened, with people fading a severely injured Eagles team. Rather than come in late in the line move, I like playing against the Eagles offense on a team total. The Jaguars are second in points allowed and familiar with the cross-Atlantic travel spot. The Eagles offense may be down to Will Shipley, Dontayvion Wicks, Makai Lemon and Zach Ertz at the skill positions, and Markel Bell did not play well when pressed into duty in place of Lane Johnson, who retired this week. We'll see if he's better with a week of prep, but Philadelphia was lucky to score 20 last week with just 172 yards of offense, and this is just as tough a matchup.

Brad Thomas

+65

(57%)

4-3 in Last 7 NFL Player Props Picks

NFL

PHI @ JAC • Sun 9:30am

B. Tuten

Over 65.5

-114

Rushing Yards

Picked: Oct 7 @ 2:49pm

Analysis

Tuten has cleared this total in 3 out of 4 games, and this matchup is softer than the Denver defense he faced when he still managed 65 yards on 13 carries. Jacksonville runs the ball at the fourth-highest rate in the NFL, and Tuten has seen at least 13 carries in every game, including 15 or more in three of four. That workload gives him plenty of upside. Philadelphia’s offense is dealing with injuries across the offensive line, backfield, and receiving corps, which could make it difficult for the Eagles to sustain drives or play from ahead. If Jacksonville leads in the second half, Tuten should get plenty of chances to grind out yards against an Eagles defense that has been vulnerable on the ground.

David Bearman

+70

(60%)

3-2 in Last 5 NFL Player Props Picks

NFL

PHI @ JAC • Sun 9:30am

W. Shipley

Under 36.5

-125

Rushing Yards

Picked: Oct 8 @ 8:54pm

Analysis

If you took the under on the opposing RB this season vs. the Jaguars defense, you are 4-0. Quinshon Judkins, J.K. Dobbins, TreVeyon Henderson, and Chase Brown averaged 25.5 rush yards vs. Jacksonville. The Jags have the second-best rush defense this season, allowing only 74.3 yards per game, and top rush defense dating back to last year. Will Shipley is making his first start for the injured Saquon Barkley and Tank Bigsby, behind an OL that just lost Lane Johnson and Cam Jurgens.