Yellow Weather Warnings Issued for UK as Heavy Rain and Thunderstorms Forecast
Quick Look
The Met Office has issued yellow weather warnings for parts of the UK (east Wales, Midlands, northern England, East Anglia, southern England, and London) due to forecasted heavy rain and thunderstorms on Wednesday and Thursday, potentially leading to flash flooding despite drought relief.
AI-generated summary
Why It Matters
The UK has been experiencing drought in several regions.
Yellow weather warnings have been issued by the Met Office as heavy rain and thunderstorms are forecast to break out over parts of the UK later this week. The warnings span Wednesday and Thursday and include parts of east Wales, the Midlands, northern England, East Anglia and southern England - including London. It is likely to be the one of the most widespread outbreaks of heavy rain across southern and central parts of the UK this summer. While good news for regions plagued by drought, significant accumulations could lead to flash flooding where the ground is too dry and hard to absorb the downpours. Lightning, large hail and gusty winds are also possible. The storms, which will drift out of France and move northwards, will be sparked as warm and humid air sets in from the south. Initially, a few showers are likely to reach Cornwall and the West Country during Tuesday evening, but heavier downpours bringing thunder and lightning are likely to hit later in the night. The first band of heavy showers may reach the southeast coast of England around midnight, and then cross Greater London before moving northwards into the home counties and East Anglia. The first yellow weather warning is set to come into force at 03:00 BST on Wednesday and last until 22:00 BST. Though not all locations in the warning area will experience thunderstorms, flooding is possible in those that do, with 20-30mm of rain possible in less than an hour. The hardest hit locations could see up to 40-50mm in two to three hours. Flash flooding is possible in areas where the ground is dry and very hard, making it difficult for rainfall to be absorbed. The most intense downpours could also bring large hail with gusty winds. During the morning on Wednesday, the storms may spread further north into the Midlands and the Peak District but the forecast becomes less certain in terms of location and intensity. The storms and downpours which will have brought flash flooding and hail are forecast to continue into Thursday. A second weather warning for thunderstorms will come into force at 06:00 BST and last until 22:00 BST. Some may become slow moving across the Midlands, Wales and Northern England leading to more flash flooding. Many areas could see 20-30mm of rain in just three hours, with up to 50mm possible in some places. According to the Met Office, there is also a small chance of considerably higher totals, particularly over east-facing higher ground, where more than 75mm could fall within 12 hours. Lightning may be frequent and hail of around 1-2cm could fall.
What to Watch
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Flash flooding in dry, hard ground areas
Likely · Short term
Disruptions in transportation
Possible · Short term
Open Questions
- Exact timing of the storms in each affected area





