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Back台北市長民調落後1.2個百分點 楊植斗:蔣萬安沒有穩贏
台北市長民調落後1.2個百分點 楊植斗:蔣萬安沒有穩贏
Politics
自由时报1 hour agoPolitics1 min readChinaView translation

台北市長民調落後1.2個百分點 楊植斗:蔣萬安沒有穩贏

沈伯洋民調緊追蔣萬安 藍營議員分析:民調有參考價值但基調怪異

Quick Look

信民協會與民調專家戴立安發布台北市長選舉民調,民進黨參選人沈伯洋僅落後現任市長蔣萬安1.2個百分點。國民黨議員楊植斗分析認為蔣萬安並非穩贏,雖民調顯示綠大於藍略有問題,但仍具參考價值。

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Why It Matters

信民協會與民調專家戴立安發布台北市長選舉民調,顯示民進黨參選人沈伯洋與現任市長蔣萬安差距僅1.2個百分點。

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國民黨台北市議員楊植斗(見圖)認為,蔣萬安沒有穩贏。(資料照)

信民協會、民調專家戴立安發布的台北市長選舉民調,民進黨參選人沈伯洋只落後現任台北市長蔣萬安1.2個百分點。沈伯洋今天說,蔣萬安選情「非常穩」,他是挑戰者,就是要多說服市民。蔣萬安受訪則說,選舉確實非常競爭,他戰戰兢兢、如履薄冰。對此,國民黨籍議員楊植斗分析,蔣萬安沒有穩贏,但戴立安的民調讓台北變成「綠大於藍」的樣態,確實有點問題,但依然有參考價值。

楊植斗認為,這份民調對於藍營參考價值比較低,因為細究後發現很多問題存在,像是台北怎麼會變成綠大於藍的樣態,不過依然數據出來,依然有參考空間。

楊植斗說,蔣萬安沒有穩贏,除了信民協會的民調贏1.2個百分點之外,其他民調蔣萬安也有贏10個個百分點以上,呼籲支持藍營的人,都要記得出來投票。

Open Questions

  • 其他民調機構的數據落差原因為何?
  • 選民結構是否真的發生轉變?

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This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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