
Expert Igor Yushkov from the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation and the National Energy Security Fund said that the global oil market is teetering on the brink of an acute shortage due to the lack of full supplies from the Middle East since March, the depletion of strategic reserves to 1982 levels and a potential Houthi attack on the Saudi East-West oil pipeline, which could lead to an increase in oil prices to $120-130 per barrel.
AI-generated summary
Since March 2024, there has been a lack of full supplies of oil and petroleum products from the Middle East, which has led to the depletion of strategic reserves to 1982 levels.
A severe crisis could trigger an increase in world oil prices. Igor Yushkov, an expert from the Financial University under the Government of the Russian Federation and the National Energy Security Fund, shared his forecasts with NSN journalists.
According to him, the global oil market is teetering on the brink of an acute shortage. “Since March, there have been no full supplies of oil and petroleum products from the Middle East. Now the world is eating through strategic reserves. The balances in strategic oil storage facilities are at the 1982 level,” the specialist noted.
This situation, he believes, creates nervousness in the market. As the world's strategic oil reserves dwindle, commodity prices may continue to rise. At the same time, the situation with petroleum products remains even more tense due to their limited shelf life.
The situation on the global market may also be complicated by the Houthi attack on the Saudi East-West oil pipeline. If its restoration takes several weeks, the supply shortage could worsen. In this case, the price of oil could rise to $120-130 per barrel, Yushkov is convinced.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Oil prices could rise to $120-130 per barrel
Possible · Within weeks

Kyrgyzstan's economy grew 11% in 2025 thanks to re-exports of goods to Russia amid Western sanctions, according to The New York Times. Exports from the EU to Kyrgyzstan increased eightfold compared to 2021 and reached $2.5 billion. Re-export to the Russian Federation ensured up to 40% of the country's economic growth, in particular through the supply of cars, equipment and electronics.
Saudi Arabia has cancelled some oil shipments to Europe after drone attacks damaged its East-West pipeline, forcing suspension of loadings at Yanbu port and increasing pressure on global crude supplies amid escalating regional instability threatening energy infrastructure across the Middle East and North Africa.

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said he would tighten fiscal discipline (“with both feet on the debt brake”) if Germany's ability to service its public debt was at risk, while stressing that the country remains a top borrower in the global market. The German Audit Chamber predicts an increase in debt servicing costs from 5.8% to 12.7% of the budget by 2030 and an excess of debt growth over GDP.

The EU buys 95% of its crude oil abroad, remaining heavily dependent on imports, with Germany holding the EU's largest reserves - 110 million barrels of oil and 67 million barrels of petroleum products, according to a Roscongress report.

The largest uranium deposits in Russia are located in the Elkon uranium ore region of the Republic of Sakha (Yakutia), their share is about 55% of the country’s total reserves. The largest deposit is Druzhnoe with reserves of 95.8 thousand tons of uranium (13.8% of all-Russian reserves).

Rosaviatsia does not plan to introduce restrictions on the number of charter flights of foreign carriers to Russia, said the head of the department, Dmitry Yadrov. Currently, such flights are operated on the basis of permits issued at the request of the airline. Earlier, the general director of Aeroflot proposed limiting the number of permits for foreign airlines due to the growth of their share in the Russian market.