Poll of the Trustees Association: Shen Boyang's support is close to Jiang Wanan, writer Zhao Xiaohui analyzes the key to victory or defeat

The Taipei Mayoral Election Poll conducted by the People's Association shows that the current Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan's approval rating is 41.7%, and Shen Boyang's support is 40.5%, which has greatly boosted the morale of the green camp. Writer Zhao Xiaohui said that Shen Boyang's winning weapon in the last two months is to "return to municipal administration". This "softness overcomes toughness" strategy will resolve the hatred label attached to Chiang Wanan for a general recall.

Zhao Xiaohui pointed out that Shen Boyang has a trump card that Jiang Wanan does not have, which is "Mayor, please listen to me!" On the LINE platform, he has tens of thousands of petitions from voters in major administrative districts, allowing him to systematically grasp the latest public sentiment in each district, full of details, and then prescribe the right medicine.

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Zhao Xiaohui believes that what can really widen the poll gap between Shen Boyang and Jiang Wanan and complete the golden cross is not always talking about political party opposition, but whether Shen Boyang can transform the problems that citizens encounter every day into specific discussable policies and implementable solutions. If he becomes the mayor of Taipei, he will not only give everyone a "little blessing", but also have the courage to reform the serious structural diseases.

The blue camp continues to microwave the pan-blue voters' fearful memory of the "big recall", which leads to "anti-intellectual" consequences. The political opposition and hatred set off by Jiang Wanan fills voters' heads with emotions and drowns out rational thinking.

When public discussions focus on political party opposition for a long time and rarely return to urban governance itself, municipal issues are easily marginalized.

This Taipei mayor election has absolutely nothing to do with the recall vote, the blue-green showdown, or the preservation of the party. It is the simplest return to municipal administration. Shen Boyang must continue to go deep into the hand-to-hand land battles in the streets and alleys, so that the voters of "Chou Chen" can get to know him well, what kind of person he is, and what kind of future he wants to bring to the citizens of Taipei.

Zhao Xiaohui emphasized that in a city like Taipei, which is dominated by middle-class white-collar workers, the marginal effect of tearful voting forced by "hate mobilization" has been diminishing, and the blue and green are the same. Because voters will not always accept that you only talk about hatred value but ignore municipal construction. "If a candidate of any political party is not vigilant, he will lose and lose his pants."