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Back薪情地圖2》生不如死、用腳投票 蔣市府流失9.2萬市民
薪情地圖2》生不如死、用腳投票 蔣市府流失9.2萬市民
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自由时报2 hours agoPolitics2 min readChinaView translation

薪情地圖2》生不如死、用腳投票 蔣市府流失9.2萬市民

Quick Look

內政部統計顯示,蔣萬安接任台北市長後,除了2023年因疫情後戶籍恢復短暫增加31205人外,2024年減少21017人,2025年暴減51362人,兩年合計少掉逾7.2萬人。2026年前9月又減少20653人,累計流失達9.2萬人。自然增加轉為負值,社會減少持續擴大,顯示首都人口外流未止且加速。

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Why It Matters

台北市人口長期面臨自然減少與社會淨遷出雙重壓力。柯文哲執政8年期間,雖有出生數帶來正向自然增加,但遷出人數龐大,導致總人口減少超過22萬人。蔣萬安上任後,雖2023年受疫後戶籍復原影響短暫回升,但隨後人口外流趨勢加劇。

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蔣萬安接任台北市長後,除了2023年因疫情後戶籍恢復而短暫增加31205人外,2024年減少21017人,2025年更暴減51362人,合計少掉逾7.2萬人,顯示首都人口外流沒有止血。(資料照)

〔記者高嘉和/台北報導〕台灣首都人口持續流失中!根據內政部統計,蔣市府上任初期受惠於疫後復籍潮,但之後的2024年、2025年短短2年總人口又大減72379人,若再加上2026年前9月又減少20653人,蔣市府流失了9.2萬市民;除了「生不如死」的人口自然減少外,也面臨著「用腳投票」淨遷出的人口社會減少。

柯文哲執政8年,台北市總人口累計減少221634人,被視為重大的市政警訊;蔣萬安接任後,除了2023年因疫情後戶籍恢復而短暫增加31205人外,2024年減少21017人,2025年更暴減51362人,合計少掉逾7.2萬人,2026年前9月又減少20653人,顯示首都人口外流沒有止血,反而持續加速減少。

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自然增減反映的是市民生育意願與養育環境。柯文哲執政期間,台北市自然增加(出生人數減去死亡人數)總計為正成長31489人,儘管後期受到大環境影響,數字逐漸下滑並轉為負值,任期前段仍能維持一定的生育水準。

但蔣萬安執政近後,自然增加數呈現嚴重赤字。2024年自然減少2612人,2025年減少6878人,2026年前9月再擴大減少7031人,累計自然減少達16125人;顯示蔣市府「催生」政策未能發揮實質效用,加上老年人口占比是全台最高,已陷入「生不如死」困境。

另柯市府期間,台北市社會減少(遷入減去遷出)達253123人,龐大的「脫北潮」在當時引發話題。蔣市府上任後,居住困境依然無解。扣除2023年的疫後復籍的異常值,2024年的社會減少達18405人,2025年遷出狀況更為劇烈,社會減少達44484人,2026年前9月續減13604人,累積有76493人選擇「用腳投票」而離開台北市。

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Open Questions

  • 蔣市府具體將採取哪些政策來逆轉人口外流趨勢?
  • 台北市房價與居住成本是否為人口遷出的主要原因?
  • 年輕夫婦的生育意願提升需要哪些配套措施?
  • 老年人口比例持續上升對城市財政與服務的長期影響是什麼?

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