
AI-generated summary
The Taipei mayoral election will be held next year. The current Kuomintang mayor Chiang Wanan is seeking re-election, and the Democratic Progressive Party will challenge Shen Boyang. Previous polls showed close support between the two candidates, but the latest poll showed Shen Boyang's lead widening.
The People's Association today (20th) released the second poll of the Taipei mayoral election, which was designed and analyzed by polling expert Dai Li'an. The Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang's support was 50.3%, leading the current Taipei Mayor Chiang Wanan by 33.3%. The gap between the two was 17 percentage points. Media person Zhan Lingyu said that Chiang Wanan's support dropped by 8.4 percentage points in one month. "This is not an error, this is a rebellion among Taipei people."
Zhan Lingyu said that in September, the poll showed Jiang Wanan at 41.7% and Shen Boyang at 40.5%, and the blue camp was still talking about the five-five wave; in October, it was 33.3% to 50.3%, and the current mayor dropped 8.4 percentage points in one month. This is not an error, but a rebellion of Taipei people. Zhan Lingyu mentioned that it is even worse in terms of suitability. In September, about half of Taipei people said that Chiang Wanan was suitable to be mayor, but in October the number was 41.2%. Those who said he was unsuitable jumped to 46.8%, which is like a death cross; but Shen Boyang said the opposite, and his suitability jumped to 56.6%. Zhan Dianping: "The Blue Camp has been laughing at the 'anti-Chinese scholars' for half a year, and now it looks more like the mayor than the current mayor."
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Zhan Lingyu pointed out that the toughest question is whether the political party should continue to do so with the Kuomintang or should it be replaced by the Democratic Progressive Party. 48.7% of Taipei people want to change, compared with 31.7% who do not want to change. However, the "Dark Blue Capital" does not even want the KMT as a sign.
Zhan Lingyu also said: "Some people will say that the Christian People's Association is biased towards the green. Well, the Kuomintang will make its own version. Do you dare to announce it?" He also emphasized that the report card of Chiang Wanan's more than three years in power was rated 33.3 by Taipei people. Although Shen Boyang is very strong, it was Jiang Wanan who handed over the points himself.
The above-mentioned poll was entrusted by the Trustees Association to design and analyze the questionnaire, and Beacon Market Research Company conducted telephone interviews. From October 14 to October 16, the survey targets were people registered in Taipei City and over the age of 20. 1,075 people were successfully interviewed (753 people on residential phones and 322 on mobile phones). The maximum sampling error was ±3.0%.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
If Chiang Wanan's support continues to decline, the KMT may adjust its Taipei mayoral candidate or campaign strategy
Likely · Within weeks
The DPP will use the results of this poll to strengthen Shen Boyang's campaign message and emphasize the public opinion of "changing the party to govern"
Very likely · Within weeks

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Su Qiaohui, New Taipei mayoral candidate of the Democratic Progressive Party, said that she and Taipei mayoral candidate Shen Boyang will hold more online and offline activities together in the last 39 days before the election to make every effort to sprint for the election. She also pointed out that the "ocean current" effect has brought positive influence and support continues to rise.
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The Trustees Association released the second Taipei mayoral election poll. Support for Democratic Progressive Party candidate Shen Boyang climbed to 50.3%, leading the current mayor Chiang Wanan by 33.3%. 19.0% of People's Party supporters voted for Shen Boyang, an increase of 17.4 percentage points from the previous month, and 34.2% of neutral voters supported Shen Boyang, an increase of 8.3 percentage points from September. The survey was conducted from October 14th to 16th, with a valid sample of 1,075 people, and an error of ±3.0%.

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