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BackTyphoon Qiangpit’s path revealed! Wu Derong: Taiwan may face the threat of strong winds and heavy rains
Typhoon Qiangpit’s path revealed! Wu Derong: Taiwan may face the threat of strong winds and heavy rains
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自由时报1 hour agoEnvironment2 min readChinaView original

Typhoon Qiangpit’s path revealed! Wu Derong: Taiwan may face the threat of strong winds and heavy rains

Wu DerongQiangpityphoon

Quick Look

  • Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Science at National Central University, pointed out that Typhoon No.
  • 29 Qiangpi may make landfall in the center or pass through Taiwan from Friday to Saturday.
  • The threat of strong winds and heavy rains cannot be underestimated.

AI-generated summary

Why It Matters

Wu Derong is an adjunct associate professor in the Department of Atmospheric Science of National Central University. He publishes weather analysis in the column of the Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation. The content quotes model data from the Central Meteorological Administration and the European Meteorological Center.

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Wu Derong pointed out that strong Taiwan No. 29 Qiangpi may land in the center from Friday to Saturday and pass through Taiwan. (Extracted from the website of the Central Meteorological Administration)

Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Science of National Central University, pointed out that today (20th) there will be occasional rain in the eastern half, and the temperature difference between day and night is large; tomorrow (21st) it will turn rainy on the windward side, and the temperature will drop day by day; Strong Typhoon No. 29 Qiangpi may make landfall in the center on Friday and Saturday (23rd and 24th) and pass through Taiwan, and some simulations will pass through the offshore Taiwan. Strong winds and heavy rain should not be underestimated.

Wu Derong said in the Meteorological Application Promotion Foundation's "Tianji Classroom" column today that the latest (ECMWF) model simulation (at 20:00 on the 19th) shows that the western half will be clear and stable today, and the eastern half will be sunny and cloudy with occasional localized short-term rainfall. The daytime temperatures in various places are relatively high, and the temperature difference between day and night is large, which is an "autumn tiger" pattern.

Please read on...

Wu Derong pointed out that the latest model simulation shows that the northeast monsoon will strengthen from tomorrow afternoon, and the windward side will turn rainy; on Thursday (22nd), the rain on the windward side will gradually increase, while the leeward side will have a slight impact, and the temperature will drop day by day.

Affected by Qiangpi on Friday and Saturday, the intensity of wind and rain in various places is very different, depending on whether the path makes landfall, and it needs to be observed again; next Sunday and Monday (25th and 26th) Qiangpi will gradually move away, the wind and rain will stop, the weather will improve, and there will be occasional localized short-term rainfall in the mountainous area in the afternoon.

Wu Derong analyzed that the latest (at 2:00 on the 20th) typhoon track potential forecast map of the Meteorological Administration shows that Qiangpi is in the western sea of ​​Guam, continues to approach the sea from the northwest towards the eastern sea of ​​Taiwan, and then gradually turns north. The path is uncertain, including landing in the sea of ​​northeastern Taiwan or on part of the land. Qiang Pi will continue to strengthen and expand, and is expected to reach its peak today and tomorrow.

The latest European model simulation shows that the average path of the system continues to the northwest and west, with the center making landfall and passing through Taiwan on Friday and Saturday, while individual members of the system are scattered to both sides. The simulated path is uncertain, indicating that it is possible to land or pass through the offshore waters of Taiwan.

Wu Derong added that although Qiangpi will gradually weaken as it approaches Taiwan, its intensity is still strong, and the threat of strong winds and heavy rains "must not be underestimated." In addition, as the model will continue to adjust, close observation should be made.

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • Typhoon Qiangbi will approach Taiwan from Friday to Saturday, and may make landfall in the center or pass through Taiwan's offshore waters

    Likely · Within days

  • After the typhoon moves away, there may still be localized short-term rainfall in the afternoon in the mountainous areas

    Possible · Within days

Open Questions

  • Will Typhoon Qiangbi eventually make landfall in Taiwan or will it just pass offshore?
  • What is the specific impact of typhoons on different areas of Taiwan?

Related Topics

Wu Derong
OrganizationsCentral UniversityCentral Meteorological AdministrationMeteorological Application Promotion Foundation
PlacesTaiwanGuam
TopicsQiangpityphoonCentral Meteorological AdministrationEuropean modelLoginStrong winds and heavy rain
This article was originally published by 自由时报.

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