
AI-generated summary
Typhoon Qiangbi is currently about 1,680 kilometers away from Taiwan and is intensifying. It is expected to weaken to mid-stage when it approaches Taiwan. However, the storm circle has expanded and may turn northward after Thursday. The angle is uncertain.
Typhoon Qiangpit is coming with force! The Central Meteorological Administration predicts that Typhoon Qiangbi continues to intensify and has a chance of slowly weakening into central Taiwan as it approaches Taiwan. However, the storm circle is still expanding. Judging from the current path, it may turn northward after Thursday, but the northward turn angle is still uncertain. The coast guard will be issued as early as late tomorrow night. If the movement path is closer to Taiwan, it is not ruled out that a land warning will be issued on Thursday night. In any case, there will be heavy rain in northern Taiwan on Friday and Saturday.
Zhao Hong, a forecaster from the Meteorological Administration, said that the strong typhoon "Qiangpi" is currently about 1,680 kilometers away from Taiwan. The environmental conditions are good today (20th) and tomorrow. The typhoon still has a chance to intensify. However, as it approaches Taiwan, the environmental conditions will worsen and there is a chance that it will slowly weaken. However, the storm circle will still tend to expand, and the impact on Taiwan may be more obvious than imagined.
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Zhao Hong said that Qiangpi will move along the south side of the Pacific high pressure in a northwest-west direction before Thursday. After Thursday, it will slowly turn northward, but it may turn eastward or westward, and the northward turning angle is still uncertain. A coast guard will be issued from late tomorrow night to the first half of Thursday at the earliest. If the movement path is closer to Taiwan, it is not ruled out that a land warning will be issued on Thursday night. In any case, the easterly and westward will bring significant rainfall to Taiwan. The impact will be most obvious on Friday, and the typhoon will gradually move northward and away on Saturday.
Zhao Hong pointed out that the weather in various places today is sunny and stable, and the environment is dry. Only the northeast, southeast, and Hengchun Peninsula have sporadic rainfall. Tomorrow the northeast monsoon will gradually strengthen, and the chance of rainfall in the northern and eastern half will increase. There will be sporadic short showers in the southern mountainous areas in the afternoon. On Thursday, the northeast monsoon and typhoon will gradually approach, and the rainfall in northern Taiwan will be more obvious. Watch out for local heavy rains in the mountainous areas of Taipei and Yilan, and the rainfall range in the eastern half will also expand southward. In the southern mountainous areas, watch out for sporadic showers in the afternoon.
Zhao Hong said that Friday is when the typhoon is closest to Taiwan, and it is easy for the whole Taiwan to rain. Pay attention to local heavy rain or torrential rain in the north, Yilan, and North Hualien. Especially in mountainous areas, due to the topography, the rainfall will be more obvious than on the flat land. On Saturday, the typhoon will slowly move away from the north. , but there will still be local heavy rain or torrential rain in the northern region, it will turn to local rain in the eastern half and central mountainous area, and it will turn to cloudy weather in other areas; next Sunday and Monday, there will be another wave of cool air from the north moving south, and there will be local rainfall in the north and eastern half of Taoyuan on the windward side.
As for the temperature, Zhao Hong said that it will be hot in various places today, with temperatures ranging from 31 to 34 degrees during the day, and high temperatures above 36 degrees in some areas. The northeast monsoon will strengthen slightly tomorrow, and the temperature in the north will drop slightly to about 28 degrees, while the central and southern parts will still be hot. On Thursday, the temperature in northern Taiwan will be low throughout the day, with temperatures around 23 degrees Celsius throughout the day. to 25 degrees, while other areas are around 30 degrees during the day and 23 degrees in the morning and evening. Affected by typhoons on Friday and Saturday, there is more moisture, and the temperature difference between day and night is not big in various places. The daytime temperature in various places is generally below 28 degrees. Next Sunday and Monday, the moisture will decrease, and the day and night changes will gradually become obvious, with some areas rising to 30 to 32 degrees during the day.
Zhao Hong reminded that the accompanying effect of the typhoon and the northeast monsoon should occur in the outer sea, but even if there is no accompanying effect, the northeasterly wind will move south and the typhoon will be closer to Taiwan, and the wind near Taiwan will become stronger. You should pay attention to it from the second half of tomorrow. In addition, there is a chance of long waves on the eastern half of the coast and the Hengchun Peninsula from today, the north coast of Keelung and Matsu from tomorrow, and the central coast from Saturday. Please pay attention.
AI outlook — possibilities, not facts
Typhoon Qiangbi will turn north after Thursday, but the angle is still uncertain
Likely · Within days
The impact of rainfall will be most obvious on Friday. Pay attention to local heavy rain or torrential rain in the north, Yilan, and North Hualien.
Very likely · Within days
The coast guard will be issued as early as late tomorrow night. If the route is closer to Taiwan, the land police may be issued on Thursday night.
Likely · Within hours

Strong Typhoon Qiangpi is approaching Taiwan. Its path is still uncertain, but it may bring significant rainfall. Tainan's Rende District Office has mobilized 3,500 sandbags and made them available to the public starting today. It has also inspected the pumping units and prepared enough oil to prepare for possible heavy rain disasters.

Wu Derong, an adjunct associate professor at the Department of Atmospheric Science at National Central University, pointed out that Typhoon No. 29 Qiangpi may make landfall in the center or pass through Taiwan from Friday to Saturday. The threat of strong winds and heavy rains cannot be underestimated. The weather model shows that the path is uncertain, and the latest developments need to be closely observed.

The strong typhoon Qiangbi continues to approach, and forecasts from various countries have revised its path to the north. Japan and South Korea have switched sides and no longer predict landing in Taiwan, while the Meteorological Administration predicts that it will reach the northeast. Although the probability of landfall in the center has decreased, the storm circle has a wide range of influence. The probability of typhoon storm attack in the Jiyihua area of the north is still 50% to 60%, and the highest is 61% in Yilan and Keelung.

Meteorological expert Jia Xingxing pointed out that the current probability of Typhoon Qiangbi landing in Taiwan is about 6.3%. It is expected that a land warning will be issued late Thursday night, with the most significant impact from Friday to Saturday, and the temperature in northern Taiwan and Yilan will plummet by nearly 10 degrees.
The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that cold air will be more frequent in the next ten days. The temperature in most parts of the north will be lower than the same period of the year. The temperature in northern Xinjiang, western Gansu, Inner Mongolia and other places will be about 3℃ lower. Today and tomorrow, most areas in the central and eastern regions will have a temperature drop of 4 to 6°C, and some areas in western North China and Northeast China will have a drop of more than 8°C. Most areas north of the Yangtze River will be accompanied by northerly winds of magnitude 4 to 6, with gusts of magnitude 7 to 9. In terms of precipitation, there were heavy rains or torrential rains in Jianghuai, Jianghan and other places in the past day, and the rainfall will gradually weaken today and tomorrow. However, there are moderate to heavy rains in parts of the eastern part of Southwest China and northern Jiangnan, and heavy rains in parts of southwestern Guizhou and eastern Yunnan. There is obvious rain and snow in Northeast China, eastern Inner Mongolia and other places, and there is heavy snow in parts of southeastern Heilongjiang and eastern Jilin. It is expected that from the 21st to the 24th, most of Xinjiang will experience strong winds and cooling weather. There will be obvious rain and snow in the northern region. Some high-altitude mountainous areas will have blizzards to heavy snowstorms, and local heavy snowstorms. Typhoon "Qiangpi" was located on the northwest Pacific Ocean at 05:00 on the morning of the 20th, about 1,860 kilometers east-southeast of Taipei City, Taiwan Province. The maximum wind force near the center was above level 17 (62 meters/second, super typhoon level). It is expected to continue to move west-northwest at a speed of 25 to 30 kilometers per hour, gradually approaching the ocean east of Taiwan, with little change in intensity. From the 21st, the wind force in the ocean east of Taiwan, the Taiwan Strait, and the Bashi Strait will gradually increase. At present, its movement path is still highly uncertain. It is necessary to pay close attention to its development dynamics and the subsequent impact of wind and rain on my country's eastern seas and coastal areas.

Lin Deen, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, pointed out that there are obvious differences in the future path of typhoon Qianbi among the numerical forecast models of various countries: some models predict that the typhoon will turn north near Ishigaki Island or Miyako Island, which will have less impact on Taiwan; other models continue to predict that Qianbi may land in Taiwan. He emphasized that around Thursday (22nd) will be an important observation time point to judge the subsequent path, and described the two paths as "edge ball" and "straight ball duel".