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Typhoon Qiangpi is a strong typhoon and is currently approaching the waters east of Taiwan. Meteorological agencies in various countries continue to update their path forecasts.
Countries have built Qiangbi paths northward to prevent landfall. Although the probability of landfall in the center of the typhoon has decreased, due to the influence of the vast storm circle, the probability of Typhoon Kiyihua in the north and north is still about 50% to 60%. (Picture taken from NCDR)
The strong typhoon Qiangbi continues to approach, and the intensity and storm circle are expected to further increase. The latest paths of various countries continue to move northward. Japan and South Korea have switched sides. They no longer believe that Qiangpi will land in Taiwan, but will pass over the northeastern coast of Taiwan. The my country Meteorological Administration's path is still the easternmost, and it is believed that it will go northward at a large angle east of Ishigaki Island. Although the probability of the typhoon center making landfall has decreased, due to the influence of Qiangpi's vast storm circle, the probability of Typhoon Kiyihua hitting the north is still about 50% to 60%.
According to observations from the Central Meteorological Administration, Typhoon Qiangbi was centered at 16.0 degrees north latitude and 135.6 degrees east longitude at 8 a.m. today (20th). In the past 6 hours, it moved northwest and west at a speed of 21 kilometers per hour; the wind speed near the center of Qiangbi was 5 per second. 5 meters. It is expected to reach its peak intensity tonight to tomorrow (20th). The wind speed near the center is expected to reach 60 meters per second, tying the highest wind speed records of this year's three typhoons: Sinloc, Bavi, and White Dolphin. The storm circle will also expand to a giant typhoon of 300 kilometers.
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The latest report from the Meteorological Administration pointed out that the latest 120-hour typhoon storm probability in major cities and outlying islands in Taiwan is still high in the north and east areas, with Yilan and Keelung as high as 61%, Taipei 56%, New Taipei, Hualien 54%, Taozhu area 41-49%, Zhongchang Investment and Taitung at 30-36%, and the area south of Changhua is below 30%.
According to the latest typhoon track forecasts from various countries this morning compiled by the National Center for Disaster Prevention and Rescue (NCDR), meteorological agencies in various countries have revised their forecasts northward. Japan and South Korea, which originally continued to predict that the center would make direct landfall, also changed their minds and believed that the typhoon would pass offshore in the northeast corner. The Meteorological Administration predicted that it would still be the farthest north, with the largest northward turning angle, northeast of Ishigaki Island; the United States and Hong Kong were in the middle, northwest of Ishigaki Island.
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Typhoon Qiangbi continues to intensify and is expected to turn northward after Thursday, but the angle is uncertain. The impact of rainfall will be most obvious on Friday. Northern Taiwan and mountainous areas need to pay attention to local heavy rain or torrential rain. The Meteorological Administration has forecast that the Coast Guard will be issued as early as late tomorrow night. Depending on the path, a Land Warning may be issued Thursday night.

Meteorological expert Jia Xingxing pointed out that the current probability of Typhoon Qiangbi landing in Taiwan is about 6.3%. It is expected that a land warning will be issued late Thursday night, with the most significant impact from Friday to Saturday, and the temperature in northern Taiwan and Yilan will plummet by nearly 10 degrees.
The Central Meteorological Observatory predicts that cold air will be more frequent in the next ten days. The temperature in most parts of the north will be lower than the same period of the year. The temperature in northern Xinjiang, western Gansu, Inner Mongolia and other places will be about 3℃ lower. Today and tomorrow, most areas in the central and eastern regions will have a temperature drop of 4 to 6°C, and some areas in western North China and Northeast China will have a drop of more than 8°C. Most areas north of the Yangtze River will be accompanied by northerly winds of magnitude 4 to 6, with gusts of magnitude 7 to 9. In terms of precipitation, there were heavy rains or torrential rains in Jianghuai, Jianghan and other places in the past day, and the rainfall will gradually weaken today and tomorrow. However, there are moderate to heavy rains in parts of the eastern part of Southwest China and northern Jiangnan, and heavy rains in parts of southwestern Guizhou and eastern Yunnan. There is obvious rain and snow in Northeast China, eastern Inner Mongolia and other places, and there is heavy snow in parts of southeastern Heilongjiang and eastern Jilin. It is expected that from the 21st to the 24th, most of Xinjiang will experience strong winds and cooling weather. There will be obvious rain and snow in the northern region. Some high-altitude mountainous areas will have blizzards to heavy snowstorms, and local heavy snowstorms. Typhoon "Qiangpi" was located on the northwest Pacific Ocean at 05:00 on the morning of the 20th, about 1,860 kilometers east-southeast of Taipei City, Taiwan Province. The maximum wind force near the center was above level 17 (62 meters/second, super typhoon level). It is expected to continue to move west-northwest at a speed of 25 to 30 kilometers per hour, gradually approaching the ocean east of Taiwan, with little change in intensity. From the 21st, the wind force in the ocean east of Taiwan, the Taiwan Strait, and the Bashi Strait will gradually increase. At present, its movement path is still highly uncertain. It is necessary to pay close attention to its development dynamics and the subsequent impact of wind and rain on my country's eastern seas and coastal areas.

Lin Deen, a doctor of atmospheric sciences at National Taiwan University, pointed out that there are obvious differences in the future path of typhoon Qianbi among the numerical forecast models of various countries: some models predict that the typhoon will turn north near Ishigaki Island or Miyako Island, which will have less impact on Taiwan; other models continue to predict that Qianbi may land in Taiwan. He emphasized that around Thursday (22nd) will be an important observation time point to judge the subsequent path, and described the two paths as "edge ball" and "straight ball duel".
The Central Meteorological Observatory issued a warning that cold air will affect the central and eastern regions of my country from the 20th to the 21st, accompanied by cooling and strong winds; from the 21st to the 24th, there will be continuous rain, snow and strong winds in northern Xinjiang. The local accumulated precipitation is large, and safety management of transportation, tourism, agriculture and animal husbandry needs to be strengthened.

This year's No. 29 typhoon "Qiangpi" maintains the strength of a strong typhoon. It is currently located in the sea area 1,800 kilometers southeast and east of Eluanbi, moving northwest and west at a speed of 24 kilometers per hour. The Meteorological Administration predicts that its path will continue to move northward. The six counties and cities in northern and northern Taiwan, including Keelung, Taoyi, and Hua, have a storm probability of over 50% within 120 hours, with Keelung County and Yilan County being as high as 62%.