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Back全國新增房貸平均期數達322期創歷史新高 新竹縣市期數更長
全國新增房貸平均期數達322期創歷史新高 新竹縣市期數更長
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自由时报1 hour agoBusiness2 min readChinaView translation

全國新增房貸平均期數達322期創歷史新高 新竹縣市期數更長

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根據內政部不動產資訊平台最新發布,第一季全國新增房貸平均期數為322期(約26.83年),再度寫下史上最長紀錄。台北市、桃園市、台南市及新竹市寫下2008年第一季有統計以來新高,其中新竹縣市期數分別達341期、343期,顯著高於全國平均。房貸期數拉長主要受房價居高不下、青安2.0釋出40年房貸及存股賺利差民眾增加影響,但實際清償時間平均約十餘年。專家指出,雖然延長期數可降低月供負擔,但利率上升後總利息成本顯著增加,房貸族整體還款負擔持續加重。

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Why It Matters

房價居高不下導致民眾透過延長房貸還款期限來降低月供負擔,但利率上升後總利息成本增加。青安2.0政策釋出40年房貸選項,進一步推高平均期數。實際清償時間平均約十餘年,顯示許多房貸族選擇提前清償或透過換屋轉移負擔。

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第一季全國新增房貸平均期數為322期(約26.83年),再度寫下史上背最久的紀錄。(記者徐義平攝)

〔記者徐義平/台北報導〕銀行自主房貸利率衝高、又碰上房貸期數拉長,房貸族負擔越來越沉重。根據內政部不動產資訊平台最新發布,第一季全國新增房貸平均期數為322期(約26.83年),再度寫下史上背最久的紀錄。

信義房屋不動產企研室專案經理曾敬德表示,房價上漲後,民眾透過拉長房貸還款期限來降低還款負擔,雖然總利息比較多,但每月負擔較低,低利時代這樣做法負擔較輕,但利率上漲後,資金成本代價高出許多。

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房產業者指出,根據內政部最新統計,去年全國離婚對數計有5.2萬對,其中逾半數婚齡未達9年,對比人的一生,除工作年限外,對於房貸族來說,房貸幾乎可說是伴隨最久,甚至比部分民眾的婚齡還要久。

新竹房貸還款期限最長

進一步觀察六都、新竹縣市新增房貸期數統計,其中台北市、桃園市、台南市以及新竹市均寫下2008年第一季有統計以來新高,對比全國最久的平均還款期數322期,七大都會區中,僅有台北市的315期、低於全國平均,反觀新竹縣、市均超過340期,分別為341、343期,相較全國平均多出19期(約1.58年)、21期(約1.75年)。

馨傳不動產智庫執行長何世昌指出,因房價居高不下、青安2.0以後釋出40年房貸影響,以及存股賺利差的民眾增多,諸多因素使房貸期限越來越久。不過,借得久不代表會還更久,國人房貸清償平均時間約在十餘年,可能是存夠錢便提早清償,抑或是將換屋後將原房子賣掉、買方代位清償所致。展望第四季,央行升息已難以避免,再加上銀行大多調高房貸利率,房貸族總還款負擔會持續加重。

高力國際不動產業主代表服務部董事黃舒衛表示,與上世紀動輒雙位數的利率相比,現在的借款人已經失去急著還款的壓力,還款期數就像一般消費貸款一樣,是衡量收入與債務比之後的妥協結果,唯獨屋齡偏老的台北市,因為房價高、購屋者進場年齡晚,所以最缺乏運用調整期數來減負的條件,因此人口外流的現象越趨明顯。相對來說,沉重的經濟、生活壓力往往導致就是不婚不生、晚婚晚生的原因之一,所以政府大推各類婚育補貼政策也是其來有自。

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What to Watch

AI outlook — possibilities, not facts

  • 第四季央行升息將使房貸族總還款負擔持續加重

    Very likely · Within months

Open Questions

  • 未來利率走勢將如何影響房貸族還款意願?
  • 延長房貸期數是否會導致更多家庭陷入長期債務陷阱?
  • 政府是否會調整房貸政策以平衡住房可負擔性與金融穩定?

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