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Back川普精心編排外交儀式 吳嘉隆分析:本質在逼習近平吞下去
川普精心編排外交儀式 吳嘉隆分析:本質在逼習近平吞下去
Politics
自由时报1 hour agoPolitics3 min readChinaView translation

川普精心編排外交儀式 吳嘉隆分析:本質在逼習近平吞下去

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美中元首「川習會」未簽署聯合聲明亦無實質重大政策突破。總體經濟學者吳嘉隆分析,整場訪問本質是川普精心編排的外交儀式,以最高規格接待為幌子,實質上向北京施加強硬的柔性下馬威,逼習近平接受美方立場。

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Why It Matters

美中元首在華府舉行會晤,未簽署聯合聲明,雙方在台灣及地緣政治議題上持續角力。

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美中元首「川習會」落幕,雙方未簽署聯合聲明亦無實質重大政策突破。總體經濟學者吳嘉隆今(27)日分析,整場訪問本質上是川普精心編排的外交儀式,其背後目的在於「逼習近平吞下去」;從國宴選曲、台裔科技巨頭受邀,到地緣政治立場堅不退讓與秀出重型軍力,川普以最高規格接待為幌子,實質上向北京施加強硬的柔性下馬威。

吳嘉隆在臉書以「川普其實是在逼習近平吞下去」為題撰文分析,回顧整場華府會晤,各界已發現美中雙方缺乏具體成果與共同聲明,看似風光的國是訪問其實充滿細節算計。例如國宴環節演奏源自台灣的經典歌曲《月亮代表我的心》,並安排演唱音樂劇《悲慘世界》中號召人民反抗暴政的曲目,具備極高政治敏感度;座上賓更罕見邀集黃仁勳夫婦與蘇姿丰夫婦等與台灣有關係的美國企業家,而沒有一個來自中國方面的企業家。另外,在接機的時候,第一夫人梅蘭妮亞亦被捕捉到擺手後退、婉拒與習近平握手的尷尬瞬間,總之一大堆的細節表明,川普其實是在給習近平柔性下馬威。

吳嘉隆指出,問題還不停在這裡,而是有很多政策立場,川普其實完全沒有讓步,等於逼習近平接受美方的立場與條件,交換條件就是川普給習近平最高規格的接待,至少形式上是這樣。例如,有關敏感的台灣問題,川普已經不想跟習近平談了,習近平也很知趣,這一次基本上沒有在台灣問題上來大作文章。

「簡單講,美國在台灣問題上的立場要逼習近平吞下去!」吳嘉隆續指,具體來說,美國不會接受習近平的統一台灣的規劃,台灣實質上歸美國保護,就如同日本歸美國保護是一樣的,當然了,還有韓國與菲律賓。這些地緣政治的立場,美國完全沒有退讓。而且,川普想告訴習近平,你們共產黨最喜歡看不起美國,認為美國空有實力,未必敢真的拿出來使用。中國人最喜歡問美國,你敢嗎?!

吳嘉隆分析,看來這一次的外交儀式,川普想達成的目的應該是讓習近平知道川普是真的敢動手的。特別是,就在習近平來訪的這幾天,美國宣布與丹麥那邊達成協議,是關於美國實質控制格陵蘭島,不花一塊錢,正式簽署協議了,這當然是做給中國看的。這一次各種先進戰鬥機的空中展示,也在告訴習近平,在第一島鏈上做文章,只會踢到美國的鐵板,美國的各種新型武器都在做好準備,可隨時出手,習近平自己最好提防「精準斬首行動」的到來。

Open Questions

  • 北京當局對此次會晤的實際內部評估為何?
  • 未來美中在第一島鏈的軍事互動將如何發展?

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