Shock Media New Taipei Mayor Poll: Su Qiaohui 38.2% slightly ahead of Li Sichuan 37.1%

"Zhen Media" released the latest poll of New Taipei mayoral candidates this morning. DPP candidate Su Qiaohui leads the KMT candidate Li Sichuan with 38.2% support and 37.1%. Su Qiaohui leads Li Sichuan by 1.1 percentage points. In this regard, Zhang Yumeng, chairman of the Taiwan Youth Generation Community Good Association, pointed out that Su Qiaohui's comeback is of course exciting, but 1.1% is still within the margin of error. We should not be too happy too early. He called on, "We must continue to canvass for votes and go to the polls. Only by voting in the polls can we really win."

Zhang Yumeng posted on Facebook that New Taipei has also gained momentum. According to "Shock Media", Su Qiaohui's approval rating for the mayor of New Taipei City is 38.2%, while Li Sichuan's is 37.1%. They are very close. They are still struggling, but Su Qiaohui has a slight lead of 1.1%. She said directly, "It's over. The Kuomintang just smeared Dalian as a green media yesterday. Are they going to say that Shock Media is a green media again today?"

Zhang Yumeng pointed out that Zhen Media conducted the same New Taipei poll at the end of April. At that time, Su Qiaohui only had 34.8% and Li Sichuan had 39.6%. In other words, about four months ago, Li Sichuan was leading by 4.8%. Looking at today's data, Su Qiaohui's Xinzhuang got the most with 49.3%. Other constituencies that won over Li Sichuan include "Sanchong, Luzhou" with 42.7%, and Su Qiaohui's natal district "Tucheng, Shulin, Sanxia, ​​Yingge" with 48.4%. Banqiao is the largest district in New Taipei with a population of 550,000. Su Qiaohui got 40% in Banqiao, while Li Sichuan only got 28.4% in Banqiao.

Zhang Yumeng pointed out again that the most stalemate battles were "Tsui, Bali, Shimen, Sanzhi" and "Zhonghe". Li Sichuan only won 1.7% and 2.6% respectively. Li Sichuan only won less than 3%. If he was not careful, he would be overtaken by Su Qiaohui.

Zhang Yumeng said that looking at this poll, the majority of People's Party supporters still support Li Sichuan, with 59.3%, but 18.5% of People's Party supporters support Su Qiaohui. Huang Guochang has been calling New Taipei Blue and White Cooperation. As a result, Su Qiaohui has stepped out of the stratosphere and received nearly 20% of the "little grass votes." In this largest "Blue and White Cooperation Demonstration Zone", the grassroots have no longer listened to Teacher Guochang and made their own decisions.

Zhang Yumeng analyzed that current mayor Hou Youyi’s policy satisfaction is very high, 75.4%, and dissatisfaction is only 15.1%. It is obvious that Hou Youyi’s “satisfaction” exceeds that of Blue and Green, but it has been 8 years since Li Sichuan left New Taipei in 2018 In 2008, as soon as Hou Youyi became mayor, Li Sichuan went to serve as an official in Hanguo Yu's Kaohsiung City Government. Regardless of whether he was dissatisfied with Hou Youyi, Hou Youyi's eight years in municipal administration had nothing to do with Li Sichuan. From the poll, it can be seen that it is difficult to transfer Hou Youyi's satisfaction to Li Sichuan.

He believes that with 66 days to go before the election, Su Qiaohui's comeback is certainly exciting, but 1.1% is still within the margin of error. He cannot be happy too early. The conclusion remains that he must continue to canvass for votes and must go to the polls. Only when the votes are cast in the polls can he really win.